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  • Special Edition – The Mad Trump: What We've Learned So Far About Trump's Tariffs

    April 3, 2025 Here’s a 5-minute power-packed update on what we’ve uncovered about Trump’s tariffs so far! Facts Who Pays What and How the Rates Are Calculated Market Reactions The Winners and Losers So Far Wild Guess What Will Happen Next? Facts: Who Pays What and How the Rates Are Calculated Donlad Trump  imposed the steepest American tariffs in a century - he will apply at least a 10% tariff  on all exporters to the US, with even higher duties on some 60 nations to counter large trade imbalances with US. Bloomberg Economics estimates the effective tax rate on over $3 trillion worth of imported goods could climb to 23% - a jaw-dropping leap from 2.3% in 2024. That’s nearly 10 times higher and even surpasses the infamous tariffs of the 1930s, which many blame for worsening the Great Depression and eventually led to the formation of General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade in 1947 (later known as the World Trade Organization). Source: Bloomberg How Are They Calculated? The reciprocal tariffs stem from the Trump administration’s assessment of barriers and levies imposed by other countries on American goods, and Trump said he's only charging "half" of those rates. Here’s the formula according to a statement by the United States Trade Representative Take a country's trade surplus with the US. Divide that surplus by its total exports. Cut that number in half to get the "reciprocal tariff rate". For example: China had a trade surplus of $295 billion with the US last year and total exports of $438 billion - a ratio of 67%. Divided by two, this yields the 34% reciprocal tariff rate, stacked on top of the 20% duties already imposed this year due to fentanyl trafficking Similar calculations determined rates for Japan, South Korea, and the European Union. Even countries where the US runs a trade surplus weren’t spared, facing a flat 10% rate regardless. Below chart shows only the most notable ones. Full lists can be found here. When will the new tariffs take effect? The 10% baseline charge kicks in after midnight Saturday, while higher duties on targeted countries roll out on April 9th. Some Exemptions Canada and Mexico are exempted this time around, as they’ve already been hit with 25% tariffs tied to fentanyl issues under previous executive orders. Products like steel and aluminum , already subject to tariffs, won’t face additional reciprocal rates. Some "Fun/Sad" Facts This round of new tariffs even included Heard and McDonald Islands , an uninhabited archipelago near Antarctica that serves as a breeding habitat for penguins. Israel , one of Trump's closest allies, announced Tuesday it had pulled down all duties on US products, only to be hit the next day with 17% levies. Hyundai Motor announced billions in US investment only to see Trump hit auto imports with tariffs that disproportionately hit the South Korean automaker, plus a 26% duty on Seoul. Apple's $500 billion US investment pledge, which Trump loves to tout, didn’t stop high tariffs aimed at China and nearby Asian nations that are low-cost manufacturers. For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. Market Reactions – The Winners and Losers So Far Equities & FX US equity index futures tumbled more than 4% in after-market trading. MSCI Asia Pacific was down 1.7% at its lowest, with Japan down 3%, Hang Seng down 1.6%, and CSI 300 down 0.6%. Europe opened down around 2% to start with. USD index is heading for one of its worst days of the year, as traders prepared for the economic impact. JPY gained 1.5% against USD, while EUR rose more than 1%. Gold continues to make new highs and was briefly above 3167/oz, extending YTD gains to 18%. "The narrative is moving from US exceptionalism to US alienation," said a sales trader at Maybank Securities in Singapore. Fixed Income US 10-year treasury yield fell toward the closely watched 4% level as investors worried the trade war will backfire on the US economy. The 10-year yield has dropped 50 basis points so far this year as investors spurned risky assets in favor of havens. A 10-year yield below 4% would be a "clear, global risk-off signal as the uncertainty of a tectonic shift in the US economy permeates markets," said head of research at hedge fund K2 Asset Management. Source: Bloomberg For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. Wild Guess - What Will Happen Next? Technically, tariffs are paid by the importer (or an intermediary), but the cost rarely stops there. Trump insists exporters ultimately foot the bill, but studies suggest it's more of a hot potato - with businesses, manufacturers, and consumers all scrambling not to get burned. So, what happens behind the scenes? 🛠️ Manufacturers' Dilemma: Some overseas manufacturers might slash prices to keep importers happy, while others consider relocating factories to dodge tariffs. But in a world where Trump’s trade policies seem omnipresent, some companies are even pondering a return to China - for its robust supply chains and efficient workers. 🏬 Importers' Game Plan: Big US importers like Walmart and Target have another trick up their sleeves - price hikes. Instead of taking the hit, they simply pass the cost to consumer to shoulder the tariff cost indirectly. A 2018 model from the Federal Reserve suggests that each 1 percentage point hike in the tariff rate lowers US GDP by 0.14% and pushes up prices by 0.09%. Based on that model, Bloomberg Economics estimates that the reciprocal tariff alone could deliver a hit to GDP of 2.4% and a price boost of 1.4% About Jadewell Family Office Jadewell is committed to offering proactive, customized services akin to a “single-family office,” yet within the ease of a “multi-family office” environment. Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 特別號 - 瘋狂的特朗普與他的對等關稅

    2025年4月3日 5分鐘快速充電 - 所有這一刻您需要知道的關於特朗普關稅的事情,都在這裡啦! 關稅現實 誰被課了多少稅,這稅率又是怎麼算出來的呢? 市場反應 這場鬧劇造成的贏家及輸家 未來的事 那接下來會發生什麼呢? 關稅現實: 誰被課了多少稅,這稅率又是怎麼算出來的呢? 美國總統特朗普 今天清晨宣布了美國近一世紀以來最嚴苛的關稅 - 他將對所有出口到美國的商品徵收 至少10% 的關稅,而全球有60幾個國家,將被徵收 更為高昂 的關稅,以應對與美國的巨大貿易失衡。 根據彭博新聞社的估算,美國未來對總額超過3萬億美元的進口商品,將徵收 高達23% 的平均關稅 - 這比去年年底的2.3%稅率直接提高了10倍! 而且這還是美國近百年歷史中的最高水平,甚至超越了 1930年代的關稅政策 - 也就是引發美國當時經濟大蕭條的元兇 ,也間接導致了世界貿易組織(WTO)的誕生。 Source: Bloomberg 關稅稅率是怎麼算出來的? 據特朗普還有美國貿易代表辦公室所說,這些稅率是基於其他國家對美國商品所設置的各種壁壘的評估,然後美國很好心地只徵收計算結果的一半,打五折報復的意思。 依照 官方聲明 ,計算公式如下: 計算某個國家與美國的貿易順差 將順差作為分子,分母則是該國的總出口額 再將上述計算結果打五折,得出美國所徵收的「對等稅率」 例如: 中國 去年與美國的貿易順差為 2950億美元 ,中國的總出口額則為 4380億美元 ,兩者相除得到 67% 。再打五折後,就得到了美國這次所公布的 34% 對等關稅稅率。但請留意,這個34%稅率並不包含早前特朗普因為芬太尼問題而徵收的20%稅率。所以今年至今,特朗普已經對中國 增加了總共54% 的稅率啦! 類似的計算方式也適用於 日本、韓國和歐盟 。 但那些與美國沒有貿易順差,反而是 貿易「逆差」 的國家呢? 很抱歉,就算是這樣也未能倖免,還是得被統一徵收10%的額外關稅。 下表只是其中幾個較受矚目的國家所被收取的關稅,更詳細的列表請看 這裡 。 新關稅何時生效? 10% 的基準關稅 將於 本週六午夜 正式生效,而針對特定國家的更高關稅則將於 4月9日 開始實施。 誰被豁免? 加拿大和墨西哥 這次被豁免,因為它們此前已因芬太尼問題被特朗普徵收了25%的關稅。 像 鋼鐵和鋁 這類已經被徵收關稅的產品,也不包含在本次的額外關稅中。 一些「有趣/悲傷」的事實 這輪新關稅的目標甚至包括了 赫德島和麥克唐納群島 ,這是一片位於南極附近的無人居住群島,島上只有企鵝與海豹。 以色列 作為特朗普最親密的盟友之一,週二才剛剛宣布取消所有對美國商品的關稅,結果隔天就被徵收17%的稅率,倒打一耙。 現代汽車 早前宣布在美國投資數十億美元,卻仍然遭到特朗普對汽車進口的關稅打擊,這些關稅不僅對韓國汽車製造商造成不成比例的影響,還對南韓額外徵收了26%的對等關稅。 蘋果公司 承諾在美國投資 5000億美元,這一點特朗普經常拿來說嘴,但這項大花費也未能阻止特朗普針對蘋果供應鏈重鎮 - 中國及周邊低成本製造國家 - 的高額關稅。 以上資訊僅供參考,並非投資或產品建議。 市場反應 – 這場鬧劇造成的贏家與輸家 股票與外匯 美國股票指數期貨 在盤後交易時段大跌超過4%。 MSC亞太指數 則最多跌1.7%,其中 日本股市 收跌3%, 香港恆生指數 下跌1.6%,中國滬深300指數則收跌0.6%。 歐洲 目前開盤跌約2% 。 美元指數 可望迎來今年最糟糕的一天。 日元兌美元 上漲 1.5%, 歐元 上漲超過 1%。 黃金 持續創下新高,曾短暫突破每盎司3167美元,今年迄今的漲幅已達 18%。 「市場氣氛正由去年的【美國例外論】轉為【美國孤立論】」 ,新加坡一位證券交易員表示。 The narrative is moving from US exceptionalism to US alienation," said a sales trader at Maybank Securities in Singapore. 債券市場 美國10年期國債收益率 已經回落到接近4%的水平,因為投資者擔憂貿易戰最終傷害的還是美國經濟。今年至今,因為投資者轉往風險較低的資產,美國10年期收益率已經下滑了50個基點。 「若是10年期收益率跌破4%,那將會是一個明確的全球避險信號,證明美國經濟結構性的轉變所帶來的不確定,已經摧毀了投資人的信心」 ,一位對沖基金研究主管表示。 A 10-year yield below 4% would be a "clear, global risk-off signal as the uncertainty of a tectonic shift in the US economy permeates markets," said head of research at hedge fund K2 Asset Management. Source: Bloomberg For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 未來的事 - 那接下來會發生什麼呢? 雖然技術上來說, 負責支付關稅的其實是美國的進口商, 但實際情況往往更為複雜。特朗普堅稱最終外國出口商會承擔關稅成本,但研究表明,整件事就是一個「燙手山芋」- 企業、製造商和消費者都在努力避免被燙傷。 🛠️ 非美國出口商的兩難困境: 一些外國出口商可能會被迫降低價格以維持銷量,而傳統上的另一個解決辦法則是搬遷工廠以避開關稅。但現在特朗普的關稅網已經覆蓋了地球上的每一個角落,搬到哪個國家都無濟於事。事實上,有些出口商可能考慮 搬回中國 ,因為反正關稅無所不在,中國至少還有強大的供應鏈和高效率的勞工。 🏬 美國進口商的應對策略: 美國的大型進口商,例如沃爾瑪和塔吉特則有另一套辦法 — 漲價 。與其自己承擔損失,他們乾脆將成本轉嫁給消費者,讓 消費者 間接承擔關稅成本。 根據美聯儲2018年的模型, 每提高1個百分點的關稅稅率,美國GDP將下降 0.14%,而物價將上漲 0.09%。 基於該模型,彭博新聞社估算, 本次公布的對等關稅將使美國GDP一共下降 2.4%,並推高物價 1.4%。 瑜新家族辦公室 家族辦公室一般可分為兩種,「單一家族辦公室」是由單一家族直接設立,為該家族提供全面的財富管理服務。而「聯合家族辦公室」則同時為多個家族服務,提供較為標準化的產品,與私人銀行相似。 瑜新結合兩者的優勢,在服務層面上,根據每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的財富管理顧問服務;在執行層面上,為您省卻了設立單一家族辦公室所需的繁瑣行政程序,利用瑜新的聯合家族辦公室平台,可以更有效率地達成您的目標。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 特别号 - 疯狂的特朗普与他的对等关税

    2025年4月3日 5分钟快速充电 - 所有这一刻您需要知道的关于特朗普关税的事情,都在这里啦! 关税现实 谁被课了多少税,这税率又是怎麽算出来的呢? 市场反应 这场闹剧造成的赢家及输家 未来的事 那接下来会发生什麽呢? 关税现实: 谁被课了多少税,这税率又是怎麽算出来的呢? 美国总统特朗普 今天清晨宣布了美国近一世纪以来最严苛的关税 - 他将对所有出口到美国的商品徵收 至少10% 的关税,而全球有 60几个国家,将被徵收更为高昂的关税 ,以应对与美国的巨大贸易失衡。 根据彭博新闻社的估算,美国未来对总额超过3万亿美元的进口商品,将徵收 高达23% 的平均关税 - 这比去年年底的2.3%税率直接提高了10倍! 而且这还是美国近百年历史中的最高水平,甚至超越了 1930年代的关税政策 - 也就是引发美国当时经济大萧条的元凶 ,也间接导致了世界贸易组织(WTO)的诞生。 Source: Bloomberg 关税税率是怎麽算出来的? 据特朗普还有美国贸易代表办公室所说,这些税率是基于其他国家对美国商品所设置的各种壁垒的评估,然后美国很好心地只徵收计算结果的一半,打五折报復的意思。 依照 官方声明 ,计算公式如下: 计算某个国家与美国的贸易顺差 将顺差作为分子,分母则是该国的总出口额 再将上述计算结果打五折,得出美国所徵收的「对等税率」 例如: 中国 去年与美国的贸易顺差为 2950亿美元 ,中国的总出口额则为 4380亿美元 ,两者相除得到 67% 。再打五折后,就得到了美国这次所公布的 34% 对等关税税率。但请留意,这个34%税率并不包含早前特朗普因为芬太尼问题而徵收的20%税率。所以今年至今,特朗普已经对中国增加了 总共54%的税率啦! 类似的计算方式也适用于 日本、韩国和欧盟。 但那些与美国没有贸易顺差,反而是 贸易「逆差」 的国家呢? 很抱歉,就算是这样也未能倖免,还是得被 统一徵收10%的额外关税。 下表只是其中几个较受瞩目的国家所被收取的关税,更详细的列表请看 这里 。 新关税何时生效? 10% 的基准关税 将于 本週六午夜 正式生效,而针对特定国家的更高关税则将于 4月9日 开始实施。 谁被豁免? 加拿大和墨西哥 这次被豁免,因为它们此前已因芬太尼问题被特朗普徵收了25%的关税 像 钢铁和铝 这类已经被徵收关税的产品,也不包含在本次的额外关税中。 一些「有趣/悲伤」的事实 这轮新关税的目标甚至包括了 赫德岛和麦克唐纳群岛 ,这是一片位于南极附近的无人居住群岛, 岛上只有企鹅与海豹。 以色列 作为特朗普最亲密的盟友之一,週二才刚刚宣布取消所有对美国商品的关税,结果隔天就被徵收17%的税率,倒打一耙。 现代汽车 早前宣布在美国投资数十亿美元,却仍然遭到特朗普对汽车进口的关税打击,这些关税不仅对韩国汽车製造商造成不成比例的影响,还对南韩额外徵收了26%的对等关税。 苹果公司 承诺在美国投资 5000亿美元,这一点特朗普经常拿来说嘴,但这项大花费也未能阻止特朗普针对苹果供应链重镇 - 中国及周边低成本製造国家 - 的高额关税。 以上資訊僅供參考,並非投資或產品建議。 市场反应 – 这场闹剧造成的赢家与输家 股票与外汇 美国股票指数期货 在盘后交易时段大跌超过4%。 MSC亚太指数 则最多跌1.7%,其中 日本股市 收跌3%, 香港恆生指数 下跌1.6%, 中国沪深300指数 则收跌0.6%。 欧洲 目前开盘跌约2%。 美元指数 可望迎来今年最糟糕的一天。 日元兑美元 上涨 1.5%, 欧元 上涨超过 1%。 黄金 持续创下新高,曾短暂突破每盎司3167美元,今年迄今的涨幅已达 18%。 「市场气氛正由去年的【美国例外论】转为【美国孤立论】」, 新加坡一位证券交易员表示。 The narrative is moving from US exceptionalism to US alienation," said a sales trader at Maybank Securities in Singapore. 债券市场 美国10年期国债收益率 已经回落到接近4%的水平,因为投资者担忧贸易战最终伤害的还是美国经济。今年至今,因为投资者转往风险较低的资产,美国10年期收益率已经下滑了50个基点。 「若是10年期收益率跌破4%,那将会是一个明确的全球避险信号,证明美国经济结构性的转变所带来的不确定,已经摧毁了投资人的信心」 ,一位对冲基金研究主管表示。 A 10-year yield below 4% would be a "clear, global risk-off signal as the uncertainty of a tectonic shift in the US economy permeates markets," said head of research at hedge fund K2 Asset Management. Source: Bloomberg For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 未来的事 - 那接下来会发生什麽呢? 虽然技术上来说, 负责支付关税的其实是美国的进口商 ,但实际情况往往更为複杂。特朗普坚称最终 外国出口商 会承担关税成本,但研究表明,整件事就是一个「烫手山芋」- 企业、製造商和消费者都在努力避免被烫伤。 🛠️ 非美国出口商的两难困境: 一些外国出口商可能会被迫降低价格以维持销量,而传统上的另一个解决办法则是搬迁工厂以避开关税。但现在特朗普的关税网已经复盖了地球上的每一个角落,搬到哪个国家都无济于事。事实上,有些出口商可能考虑 搬回中国 ,因为反正关税无所不在,中国至少还有强大的供应链和高效率的劳工。 🏬 美国进口商的应对策略: 美国的大型进口商,例如沃尔玛和塔吉特则有另一套办法 — 涨价。与其自己承担损失,他们乾脆将成本转嫁给消费者,让消费者间接承担关税成本。 根据美联储2018年的模型, 每提高1个百分点的关税税率,美国GDP将下降 0.14%,而物价将上涨 0.09%。 基于该模型,彭博新闻社估算, 本次公布的对等关税将使美国GDP一共下降 2.4%,并推高物价 1.4%。 瑜新家族办公室 家族办公室一般可分为两种,「单一家族办公室」是由单一家族直接设立,为该家族提供全面的财富管理服务。而「联合家族办公室」则同时为多个家族服务,提供较为标准化的产品,与私人银行相似。 瑜新结合两者的优势,在服务层面上,根据每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的财富管理顾问服务;在执行层面上,为您省却了设立单一家族办公室所需的繁琐行政程序,利用瑜新的联合家族办公室平台,可以更有效率地达成您的目标。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • Vol 19 – Do You Want to See My Homework?

    March 30, 2025 Hello! What a quirky title for this week’s newsletter, right? 😄 It comes from a “legendary” pick-up line that Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang used 40 years ago to ask out his classmate (now his wife). As a true geek, it was the sincerest - and perhaps boldest - offering he could come up with. Following his lead, Jadewell Family Office is here to show you our homework too! Whether it’s something tailored to the data provided by you, or a collection of our past work to help with brainstorming, we’re always happy to share. We also want to give a big shoutout to InvestHK for their kind press release earlier this week about Jadewell’s establishment. Excitingly, our social media channels  ( Facebook,   IG ,   X ) are now live and buzzing! Follow us there for timely updates, thought-provoking charts, and more tidbits. One last note: there won’t be a newsletter for the next two weeks because the blog writer is going on holiday. See you again in mid-April! ✈️🐨 Category Contents for this Week 1) Chart of the Week Big Pain, Small Pain, and the Missing Middle 2) Book Buzz The Nvidia Way - How Close to Bankruptcy Can You Be? Key things to watch for the upcoming week: China/HK - Eco Data Mar 31 (Mon) - China PMI Numbers Apr 2 (Wed) - Deadline for Cheung Kong to Sign Port Deal Contract with BlackRock US – Eco Data Apr 1 (Tue) - US Manufacturing PMI Apr 2 (Wed) - US Liberation Day for Trump's Reciprocal Tariffs Apr 4 (Fri) - US Labor Market Data, Non-Farm Payroll Other Events Apr 1 (Tue) - Reserve Bank of Australia Rates Decision Chart of the Week – Big Pain, Small Pain, and the Missing Middle Morningstar recently updated an interesting deep dive into 150 years of US bear stock markets - defined as drops of 20% or more. And the conclusion? You can already guess it: stay diversified, check your risk tolerance, plan your time horizon - we're all tired of it. 🥱 What caught my eyes was their use of a pain index . Imagine it as a “misery meter” by measuring two key things: How far the market falls  (the percentage drop from its peak). How long the agony lasts  (the time it takes to recover). Morningstar pegged the worst bear market ever - the 1929 crash that sparked the Great Depression and wiped out 79% of market cap - as the ultimate standard of pain, scoring it a full 100%. They then stacked every other bear market (19 total over 150 years) against this beast to calculate the " relative" pain index . And that’s where the plot thickens. The Jaw-Dropper: Pain is All-or-Nothing You’d expect the pain that people have suffered to be a mixed bag - some rough, some mild, most in the middle like a normal distribution. Wrong! The pain index reveals a bizarre split: 4 out of 19   were soul-crushing nightmares, with pain indexes well above 80 . 12 out of 19  were quick pinpricks, with pain indexes below 10 . Blink, and they were over. Barely any (only 3)  hovered in between. It’s like the market either sucker-punches you or gives you a "tap" . But whether you can handle even a “tap” from the market… well, that’s a story only you can tell! Why This Hits Home (and Offers Hope) We’re wired to dread bear markets, but the pain index says most (12 out of 19!) are no biggie. Take the 2020 COVID crash: stocks tanked hard and fast, but the rebound was so swift it barely registered on the pain scale. Sure, it felt like chaos in the moment - remember those panic-buying toilet paper days? 🧻 - but history shrugs it off as a hiccup. Now, when the markets do  get ugly - like those 4 with pain indexes over 80 - they’re downright brutal. But here’s the good news: they’re rare. The Bottom Line: Don’t Sweat Every Dip So, what’s the takeaway? Bear markets happen and we will feel the pain. But these market corrections are not all monsters under the bed. Most are fleeting, recoverable blips. The real beasts are rare, but when one shows up? 👹 Well, if we’re "lucky" enough to face one, here’s hoping we’ll earn some epic battle scars - and ultimate bragging rights - for surviving to tell the tale years later. 💪✨ With Jadewell Family Office, you’ll always have a trusty sidekick by your side when facing bear markets. If you're Mario , I'll be Luigi - let's squash those market Goombas together! Contact us today 😊 For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. Book Buzz – The Nvidia Way - How Close to Bankruptcy Can You Be? The Founding Trio: A Match Made in Tech Heaven Every epic story needs heroes, and Nvidia’s got three: Jensen Huang, Curtis Priem, and Chris Malachowsky. (We’re on a first-name basis now - Jensen, Curtis, and Chris - because they feel like old pals after this tale.) Jensen : The firebrand leader. 🔥Born in Taiwan, he landed in the U.S. as a kid, hustling through odd jobs - waiting tables, cleaning toilets - before diving into electrical engineering at Oregon State. He kicked off his career at AMD (yep, Nvidia’s future nemesis) as a designer for microprocessors. But the gig got old fast, and he jumped to LSI Logic  - a company trying to make chip designing faster and easier - as a client project manager. His first “client” was a tiny duo at Sun Microsystems - Curtis and Chris. Curtis: The graphics guru. 🎨 Curtis designed chips that pushed early visuals to life. But Sun Microsystem’s bureaucracy felt like quicksand - he wanted freedom to create, not endless office politics. Chris: The execution genius. 💡Chris was Curtis’s partner-in-crime, a fellow tinkerer obsessed with making screens sing with colors. Together, they were a dynamic duo, restless and ready to break out. Curtis and Chris dreamed of going solo with their graphic chip design skills, but they needed a business ace to pull it off - enter Jensen ! Legend has it, in 1993, the trio hatched the idea of Nvidia over breakfast at a Denny’s. They came up with the name “Nvidia” from the Latin word Invidia, meaning envy. “We wanted everyone to wish they’d done it first,” Jensen later grinned. First Blood: The NV1’s Bold Flop After securing initial funding from Sequoia and Sutter Hill Ventures , Nvidia was ready to make its big debut in 1995 with its first-ever product - a graphic chip called NV1 - crafted for gamers hungry for breathtakingly vibrant visuals. Curtis , the engineering mastermind in this field, poured his heart and soul into the project. Determined to wow the gaming world, he crafted NV1 with cutting-edge graphics technology and even integrated sound card functionality for superior audio quality that's way ahead of what existing sound chips could deliver. His vision was to create the ultimate multimedia chip for gamers. But the dream didn’t quite pan out. While the graphics technology Curtis created with NV1 was groundbreaking, mainstream game developers like Microsoft didn’t support the format to run it. The newly added sound functionality turned out to be more of a liability than an asset - it not only jacked up the cost of NV1 but also made it incompatible with computers that already had separate sound cards. “We thought killer tech was enough,” Curtis later mused. “Turns out, you need a killer product people actually want.” Ouch. NV2: A Lifeline, Not a Legacy After the flop of NV1, Nvidia rolled out its second chip, NV2 . But truth be told, there was nothing innovative here. NV2 was only built to meet contractual obligations with Sega, the Japanese gaming giant, in exchange for the desperately needed $1 million funding. Two failed chips in a row had left Nvidia in dire straits. Liquidity dried up, and the company was forced to lay off half of its 100 employees. Meanwhile, a new rival company swaggered onto the scene: 3dfx. These guys had Jurassic Park  cred - think roaring T-Rexes stomping across screens - and their graphic chips (named Voodoo ) was stealing the spotlight. “We were in survival mode,” Jensen admitted. “No grand plans - just don’t die.” The Brink: $3 Million and a Crazy Bet In late 1996, things were looking grim for Nvidia. When Jensen took a hard look at Nvidia's bank account, there was only $3 million left . That's barely enough to keep the lights on for another nine months . Nvidia needed a game-changing chip, and they needed it fast. The problem? Designing a chip from scratch typically takes two years - time Nvidia simply didn’t have. The team got creative and pulled out all the tricks to speed up the process. Engineers ditched tradition, mocking up designs on simulators , tweaking code on the fly, and praying the silicon wouldn’t fry. “We were inventing as we went,” Chris said. “No safety net.” To mark a clean break from their previous missteps, Nvidia named their new chip RIVA 128 - short for R eal-time I nteractive V ideo and A nimation accelerator, 128 bits wide. By the time RIVA 128 was released in Aug 1997, Nvidia's cash reserve was down to only thirty days of payroll! The Miracle: RIVA 128 Saves the Day Then, finally, a breakthrough! RIVA 128 hit the market like a thunderbolt. Gamers geeked out over buttery-smooth 3D graphics. Developers loved its compatibility with existing formats. No gimmicks, no sound card nonsense - just raw power at a price that didn’t scare wallets! Orders flooded in. Nvidia claimed 20% of the PC graphics market with RIVA 128, elbowing past 3dfx’s shadow. Up until today, Jensen still uses this near-death experience as Nvidia's unofficial company motto: “Our company is thirty days from going out of business.” But that was only the beginning of Nvidia’s rollercoaster journey. From the triumph of the RIVA 128 to their rise as an AI powerhouse, the road ahead was filled with countless challenges and make-or-break moments. Stay tuned for future newsletters - we have more stories to share! The Startup Trap That Nvidia Nailed (and I’m Still Learning) Nvidia’s NV1 bombed - brilliant, but "irrelevant." Startups tend to fall into this trap too. Here’s what I’m still trying to figure out: Does it really  add value for clients? It’s tempting to fall head-over-heels for our own ideas. But if it doesn’t make our clients’ lives better - if it’s not the aspirin to their headache - they won’t care! Passion’s great, but practicality wins. Does it fit the bigger picture ? Nvidia’s NV1 was a tech marvel, but it clashed with prevailing PC format back then. Lesson learned: Our value proposition needs to play nice with the world that clients live in , or it’s toast. Does it lure clients rather than merely convince them? That’s the difference between a sales pitch and a magnet. Nvidia’s RIVA 128 didn’t just talk a good game; it delivered  performance that had people scrambling to buy. That’s the goal: make clients want it, no hard sell needed. At Jadewell Family Office , we struggle, fail and evolve through constant trial and error. Each challenge bringing us closer to the ultimate solutions the clients need. I’m still learning every step of the way, so if you’ve got any ideas to share, hit me up anytime! As Jensen Huang once advised Stanford students, "I wish you ample doses of pain and suffering" because that's the only way to success! 🌟 Head over to Jadewell Family Office official website to check us out and subscribe to our weekly newsletter for all the fun-filled updates!   ✨ For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. About Jadewell Family Office Jadewell is committed to offering proactive, customized services akin to a “single-family office,” yet within the ease of a “multi-family office” environment. Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 第十九篇 - 嘿,想看看我写的作业吗?

    Source: https://screenrant.com/charlie-brown-peanuts-comics-homework-list/ 2025年3月30日 您好! 本周周报的标题很奇怪吧? 😄 其实这一句话,是 辉达创办人黄仁勋 40年前读大学的时候,拿来追女朋友用的! 身为一个钢铁直宅男,他的「作业」就是他能想到的最有价值的资产,是他 最真诚、最无私 的奉献! 而且他还成功了,当时的女同学,变成了现在的太太(洒花)。 效彷他的精神,我们想表达的是, 【瑜新家族办公室】也很乐意向您展示我们的「作业」喔! 无论是根据您所提供的数据而量身订做的专属作业,或是我们过去的作业集锦,我们都将诚意满满地与您分享,欢迎您随时联络! 此外,特别感谢【投资推广署InvestHK】在早前的 新聞稿 中提到瑜新的成立。我们的社交媒体平台( Facebook,   IG ,   X )也已经正式上线啦! 快来关注我们,获取即时更新、精彩图表以及更多有意思的内容! 最后有件小事,周报作者要偷懒放假啦。 未来两周将暂停更新,四月中旬我们再见囉 ✈️🐨 目 录 本周內容 1) 每周一 图 美股百年熊市回顾: 有大痛、有小痛、只是很少中间痛 2) 书本里的热话 辉达之道: 「我们再三十天就要破产了!」 未来一周值得留意的大事有: 中国/香港 - 经济数据 3月31日(周一) - 中国PMI指数 4月2日(周三) - 长和与贝莱德签署港口买卖协议的期限 美国 - 经济数据 4月1日(周二) - 美国製造业PMI 4月2日(周三) - 特朗普的美国解放日,将开始对世界各国徵收「对等关税」 4月4日(周五) - 美国劳动市场数据、非农就业数据 其他大事 4月1日(周二) - 澳洲央行议息会议 每周一 图 – 美股百年熊市回顾: 有大痛,有小痛,只是很少中间痛 Source: https://www.morningstar.com/economy/what-weve-learned-150-years-stock-market-crashes 研究机构晨星(Morningstar)最近更新了一份 報告 ,研究美国股市在过去150年来的几次熊市(定义为市场跌幅达20%或以上)。 那结论呢? 您应该已经猜到啦,还是一样呼吁投资者要分散投资、确保风险承受能力、长期持有等等的老生常谈,大家都已经听腻啦。🥱 但这份报告还是有个有趣的地方,晨星用了个稍微不同的方式来解读熊市,他们称为 「痛苦指数(Pain Index)」 。您也可以把他想成是 悲惨计量表 ,因为在熊市发生的时候,股民的心理有多痛苦,情绪有多悲惨, 其实可以用两项关键因素来衡量: 市场跌幅有多深 (从市场高峰到谷底的跌幅百分比) 市场跌得有多久 (市场恢復到前段高峰所需的时间) 正所谓没有比较就没有伤害,能通过比较的才是真爱。 世上所有的「痛苦」都是比较出来的, 于是晨星把历史上最惨烈的熊市 - 发生于咱们上辈子的1929年大萧条 - 作为 「 终极 痛苦之王」 ,给了那次熊市 100% 的满分痛苦指数。当时市场在持续了数年的熊市中,市值暴跌了79%,真的见到了金戈铁马、血流成河的惨况。😫 接下来,晨星再把过去150年中的其他几次熊市,以上述两项关键因素与终极痛苦之王比较,计算出每次熊市各自的 「 相对 痛苦指数」 。 嘿嘿,然后这份分析就开始变得有趣了! Source: The Morningstar article mentioned earlier. Format adjusted for illustration purposes. 震撼揭晓 - 有大痛,有小痛,只是很少中间痛 我本来以为,这种大数据统计出来的结果,应该都会是常态钟型分佈: 有些很惨烈,有些很轻微,大部分是在中间。 但完全错了! 这份相对痛苦指数呈现了一个奇特的分佈现象: 19次熊市中,有4次可称之为人间地狱, 痛苦指数远超80 19次熊市中,有12次其实后来想想也还好, 痛苦指数低于10。 痛苦很快就过去了,只留下美丽 数学好的读者会发现还剩下3次, 是的,只有3次广泛地分佈于大痛与小痛的极致之间,左右为难。 也就是说,根据历史数据,市场要嘛给你一顿 面目全非脚 ,把你打到连妈妈都认不出来之后再丢入地狱;要嘛就像医院里的温柔小护士姐姐, 轻轻扎你一针 ,抽管血验验就算了。 🚫 没有什麽中间地带! 🚫 温馨提示一下,就算市场只是化身小护士给你扎针,有些人也不一定承受得起针戳当下的那一阵痛,所以请自行衡量痛苦耐受程度啊! 这有什麽启示呢? 又为人类带来什麽希望呢? 我们总是本能地害怕熊市,但上述痛苦指数分佈告诉我们, 大部分的熊市(19次中的12次) ,在历史的洪流中 根本不值一提 。 拿2020年新冠疫情爆发后的熊市为例 ,当时美股虽然跌得又快又猛,但反弹也迅速得不可思议。还记得当时的厕纸之乱吗? 🧻 蓦然回首,那也只不过是历史上的一个小插曲而已。 当然,市场不会永远温柔以待, 就像那4次痛苦指数远超80的熊市一样 ,市场情绪上来的时候, 还是会把你彻头彻尾地暴打一顿 。但好消息是,这其实也不常见。 结论: 长点胆子面对每次的熊市吧! 所以我们到底想说什麽呢? 熊市总会发生,痛苦也注定会降临。但不是所有的熊市都像洪水猛兽一样可怕。 就算市场给了你【面目全非脚】,我们也可以期待从天而降的唐伯虎使出【还我漂漂拳】。因为大部分熊市都只是短暂的、可恢復的小插曲。 那如果真让咱们碰上了洪水猛兽,该怎麽办呢? 👹 首先恭喜您,洪水猛兽还真不常见,如果「有幸」碰上一个,希望我们都能在战斗中,赢得一些值得炫耀的伤痕,以及未来的吹嘘资本。多年后,从容讲述我们如何挺过洪水猛兽般熊市的故事! 当然啦,要是有了【瑜新家族办公室】的协助,就算碰上洪水猛兽,也会有人与您并肩作战! 您若是 玛利欧 ,我就是 路易吉, 一起从酷霸王手上解救 碧琪公主 。今天就联繫我们吧! 以上资讯仅供参考,并非投资或产品建议。 书本里的热话 – 辉达之道: 「我们再三十天就要破产了!」 辉达的创始三剑客: 各司其职的完美搭档 要讲出好的故事,得先有好的主角。 在辉达的故事中,男主角就是三位创始人: 黃仁勋、Curtis Priem和Chris Malachowsky 。(以下开始简称为 皮衣老黄、天才老霹和鬍子老马 ,对,因为我跟他们很熟。) 皮衣老黄: 燃烧自我的领袖 🔥老黄出生于台湾,但很早就移居美国了。没什麽背景的他,端盘子、扫厕所、洗碗什麽髒活累活都干过,最终进入俄勒冈州州立大学学习电机工程。 说来有趣,他的职业生涯竟然是从 AMD (对,就是辉达现在的劲敌AMD)开始,在那里担任微处理器设计工程师。但是他很快就对枯燥的设计工作感到厌烦了,所以跳槽到 LSI Logistics ,那是一间致力于简化晶片设计流程的公司。 皮衣老黄当时是LSI的客户经理,负责协助客户端处理晶片设计的相关问题。冥冥之中自有定数,他负责的第一个客户,就是 昇阳电脑(Sun Microsystems) ,昇阳的对接窗口正是 天才老霹 和 鬍子老马 这个双人小组。 天才老霹: 圖形晶片設計大師 🎨 天才老霹是推动显示卡发展的 传奇人物 ,但当时昇阳电脑里官僚拍马文化盛行,天才老霹知道图形晶片的潜能不可限量,他想要自由创作、自立门户,不受昇阳的束缚及拖累。 鬍子老马: 执行力鬼才 💡鬍子老马一直都是天才老霹的 最佳拍档 ,只有他才能把天才老霹天马行空的设计,拉回地球并製造成实际可用的产品。这俩就是图形晶片界的双子星,充满创意,渴望突破传统,打造自己的梦想。 终于有一天, 天才老霹 和 鬍子老马 决定带着他们擅长的图形晶片单飞,但他们知道自己空有专业知识,对企业经营、商业谈判等技巧一窍不通,所以就想到了还在LSI的客户经理 - 皮衣老黄 正是最佳人选! 于是在1993年的某一天 ,三剑客在一间平价连锁餐厅的角落,订下了辉达的创业计画。他们为公司取名 Nvidia,灵感来自 拉丁文 Invidia,也就是「羡慕」的意思 。 「我们就是要成为所有人羡慕的对象」 , 皮衣老黃 说 。 Source: https://www.maginative.com/article/15-incredible-stats-to-appreciate-nvidias-rise-to-the-most-valuable-company-in-the-world/ 第一滴血: 第一代晶片NV1的惨痛教训 辉达成立以后没多久,就从创投基金红杉资本(Sequoia)以及萨特山基金(Sutter Hill Ventures)手上拿到了第一笔资金,开始推进 第一代图形晶片NV1 的设计及生产。 这是一款为了追求极致效果的电玩用家所打造的图形晶片! 天才老霹把他的毕生绝学都倾注在了这个晶片上,不但加入了 极致创新的图形显示技术 ,还因为他觉得当时流行的音效卡音质实在太烂了,所以在这个图形晶片上也 加了音效功能 ,就是要为电玩用家提供最极致的「影」+ 「音」体验。 但梦想与现实,又岂止是丰满与骨感的分别。 虽然天才老霹的创新图形显示技术,突破了当时的行业极限,但也正因如此,包括微软在内的主流游戏开发商 都无法也不想支持NV1的运行格式 。NV1新增的音效功能更是多此一举,不仅使得NV1售价过高, 也造成NV1与本身已经有独立音效卡的电脑无法兼容 。 「我们以为有了杀手级的 技术 就够了」 ,天才老霹后来感叹。 「结果却发现,没有用家真正想要的杀手级 应用 ,再杀手的技术也只能在牆上挂着」。 Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GkuM_JJCuk 第二代晶片NV2: 苟延残喘之作 在NV1惨败之后,辉达推出了第二代晶片 NV2 。唉,没什麽好期待的,NV2没有任何突破性的创新,他的存在只是为了完成与 日本游戏公司Sega 签订的合约条款,拿到合约里剩下的100万美元救命钱而已。 连续两款失败的晶片,让辉达陷入了困境。流动资金枯竭, 本来约百人的公司不得不裁员一半 ,才有希望苟延残喘下去。 与此同时,图形晶片界出现了另外一个强大的竞争者: 一间名为 3dfx 的公司。这间公司的创办人曾参与过电影【侏儸纪公园】的恐龙特效设计,他们推出的 巫毒(Voodoo) 图形晶片,迅速抢佔了市场焦点。 「我们当时完全处于求生模式」 ,皮衣老黃承认, 「没有什麽伟大的计划,只是想方设法地活下去」。 生与死的边缘: 300万美金与一场豪赌 1996年底,辉达看起来就快要不行了... 皮衣老黄查了查银行帐户,里面只剩下 300万美元 ,勉强还能维持 九个月的营运 。但辉达必须推出一款可以起死回生的晶片,而且要快! 问题是,一款晶片从设计、测试到生产, 来回至少都得两年 ,但辉达可等不起。 在皮衣老黄的带领下,剩下的辉达员工全体 将士用命,打破常规 ,用尽所有手段来加速进程。工程师抛开传统教条,在模拟器而非实体晶片上作出各项测试,对程式码的各个漏洞逢山开路,遇水架桥,并祈祷晶片可以正常运作。 「我们只能边发明边前进」 ,鬍子老马说。 而为了与过去失败的形象一刀两断,辉达将这款新的晶片命名为 RIVA 128 ( R eal-time I nteractive V ideo and A nimation accelerator 128 bits wide,即时互动视像与动画加速器128位元架构)。 当承载全村人希望的RIVA 128于1997年8月正式发布时,辉达帐上剩下的现金,只能够应付未来 三十天 的薪资支出而已了。 Source: https://gigazine.net/gsc_news/en/20231129-nvidia-jensen-huang/ 改写命运的 RIVA 128 然后,希望终于出现了! RIVA 128 以雷霆之势震撼市场, 带来了令人惊叹的流畅 3D 图形技术,令电玩用家疯狂。游戏开发商也喜欢它与现有格式的高度兼容性。没有华而不实的噱头,没有画蛇添足的音效卡 - 只有纯粹强大的性能,以及亲民的价格! 订单蜂拥而至。辉达靠着RIVA 128 一举拿下了 个人电脑图形晶片市场 的20%市占率,成功甩开 3dfx 的阴影。 皮衣老黄到今天都不肯忘记这个教训,更把这次的经历作为 辉达非官方的座右铭: 「我们再三十天就要破产了 (Our company is thirty days from going out of business)」。 不知道您觉得这段故事有趣吗? 辉达的挑战之旅才刚刚开始呢, 从RIVA 128的逆转胜,到成为今天的AI天王 ,辉达一路走来还有更多数不尽的伤疤,我日后会再慢慢与您分享,敬请期待! 新创公司陷阱: 辉达跨过去的槛,我跨得过吗? 辉达的NV1晶片彻底失败了 - 虽然技惊四座,但还是没人想要! 许多新创公司往往也会掉进这个陷阱,我也正在努力求解: 我的产品/服务「真的」为客户带来价值了吗? 新创公司常常容易自嗨,以为自己的创新有多麽厉害,但到头来,原来我只感动了我自己。要是这些创意不能让客户的生活更美好,那根本没人会有兴趣! 有梦想固然很好,但实用性才是存活的关键。 我的产品/服务是否适合目前的「大环境」? 辉达的NV1是一项科技奇蹟,但因为与当时主流的格式无法兼容,就像再美丽的外星人,也未必符合地球人的审美框架。学到了一课: 新创的价值主张必须与客户所处的大环境相契合,否则还是註定要失败的。 我可以「吸引」客户主动上门,而不仅是被动地「说服」他们吗? 辉达的RIVA 128不用说服电玩用家,他凭着卓越性能,就可以「吸引」用家争先恐后地购买。这才是终极目标: 让客户主动需要,而不是费尽口舌(或利用每周周报)推销。 虽然创立了【瑜新家族办公室】,但其实我大部分的时间都不知道自己在干嘛,走的方向对吗? 做的研究有用吗? 我的作业会有客户想看吗? 没人知道,只能在不停的试错、修改、失败中慢慢摸索。 如果您有任何想法或是建议,欢迎随时联繫我们,静候指教! 再请皮衣老黄出场一次。他曾在一次史丹佛大学的演讲上,对着台下满眼放光的学生们说: 「我祝你们大量的痛苦与磨难 (I wish you ample doses of pain and suffering)」 ,因为这才是通往成功的唯一途径! 四月中旬再见啦! 以上资讯仅供参考,并非投资或产品建议。 瑜新家族办公室 家族办公室一般可分为两种,「单一家族办公室」是由单一家族直接设立,为该家族提供全面的财富管理服务。而「联合家族办公室」则同时为多个家族服务,提供较为标准化的产品,与私人银行相似。 瑜新结合两者的优势,在服务层面上,根据每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的财富管理顾问服务;在执行层面上,为您省却了设立单一家族办公室所需的繁琐行政程序,利用瑜新的联合家族办公室平台,可以更有效率地达成您的目标。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 第十九篇 - 嘿,想看看我寫的作業嗎?

    Source: https://screenrant.com/charlie-brown-peanuts-comics-homework-list/ 2025年3月30日 您好! 本周周報的標題很奇怪吧? 😄 其實這一句話,是 輝達創辦人黃仁勳 40年前讀大學的時候,拿來追女朋友用的! 身為一個鋼鐵直宅男,他的「作業」就是他能想到的最有價值的資產,是他 最真誠、最無私 的奉獻! 而且他還成功了,當時的女同學,變成了現在的太太(灑花)。 效仿他的精神,我們想表達的是, 【瑜新家族辦公室】也很樂意向您展示我們的「作業」喔! 無論是根據您所提供的數據而量身訂做的專屬作業,或是我們過去的作業集錦,我們都將誠意滿滿地與您分享,歡迎您隨時聯絡! 此外,特別感謝【投資推廣署InvestHK】在早前的 新聞稿 中提到瑜新的成立。我們的社交媒體平台( Facebook,   IG ,   X )也已經正式上線啦! 快來關注我們,獲取即時更新、精彩圖表以及更多有意思的內容! 最後有件小事,周報作者要偷懶放假啦。 未來兩周將暫停更新,四月中旬我們再見囉 ✈️🐨 目錄 本周內容 1) 每周一圖 美股百年熊市回顧: 有大痛、有小痛、 只是很少中間痛 2) 書本裡的熱話 輝達之道: 「我們再三十天就要破產了!」 未來一周值得留意的大事有: 中國/香港 - 經濟數據 3月31日(周一) - 中國PMI指數 4月2日(周三) - 長和與貝萊德簽署港口買賣協議的期限 美國 - 經濟數據 4月1日(周二) - 美國製造業PMI 4月2日(周三) - 特朗普的美國解放日,將開始對世界各國徵收「對等關稅」 4月4日(周五) - 美國勞動市場數據、非農就業數據 其他大事 4月1日(周二) - 澳洲央行議息會議 每周一圖 – 美股百年熊市回顧: 有大痛,有小痛,只是很少中間痛 Source: https://www.morningstar.com/economy/what-weve-learned-150-years-stock-market-crashes 研究機構晨星(Morningstar)最近更新了一份 報告 ,研究美國股市在過去150年來的幾次熊市(定義為市場跌幅達20%或以上)。 那結論呢? 您應該已經猜到啦,還是一樣呼籲投資者要分散投資、確保風險承受能力、長期持有等等的老生常談,大家都已經聽膩啦。🥱 但這份報告還是有個有趣的地方,晨星用了個稍微不同的方式來解讀熊市,他們稱為 「痛苦指數(Pain Index)」 。您也可以把他想成是 悲慘計量表 ,因為在熊市發生的時候,股民的心理有多痛苦,情緒有多悲慘,其實可以用 兩項關鍵因素 來衡量: 市場跌幅有多深  (從市場高峰到谷底的跌幅百分比) 市場跌得有多久 (市場恢復到前段高峰所需的時間) 正所謂沒有比較就沒有傷害,能通過比較的才是真愛。 世上所有的「痛苦」都是比較出來的, 於是晨星把歷史上最慘烈的熊市 - 發生於咱們上輩子的1929年大蕭條 - 作為 「 終極 痛苦之王」 ,給了那次熊市 100% 的滿分痛苦指數。當時市場在持續了數年的熊市中,市值暴跌了79%,真的見到了金戈鐵馬、血流成河的慘況。😫 接下來,晨星再把過去150年中的其他幾次熊市,以上述兩項關鍵因素與終極痛苦之王比較,計算出每次熊市各自的「 相對 痛苦指數」。 嘿嘿,然後這份分析就開始變得有趣了! Source: The Morningstar article mentioned earlier. Format adjusted for illustration purposes. 震撼揭曉 - 有大痛,有小痛,只是很少中間痛 我本來以為,這種大數據統計出來的結果,應該都會是常態鐘型分佈: 有些很慘烈,有些很輕微,大部分是在中間。 但完全錯了! 這份相對痛苦指數呈現了一個奇特的分佈現象: 19次熊市中,有4次可稱之為人間地獄 , 痛苦指數遠超80 19次熊市中,有12次其實後來想想也還好 ,痛苦指數低於10。 痛苦很快就過去了,只留下美麗 數學好的讀者會發現還剩下3次 ,是的,只有3次廣泛地分佈於大痛與小痛的極致之間, 左右為難。 也就是說,根據歷史數據,市場要嘛給你一頓面目全非腳,把你打到連媽媽都認不出來之後再丟入地獄;要嘛就像醫院裡的溫柔小護士姐姐,輕輕扎你一針,抽管血驗驗就算了。 🚫 沒有什麼中間地帶! 🚫 溫馨提示一下,就算市場只是化身小護士給你扎針,有些人也不一定承受得起針戳當下的那一陣痛,所以請自行衡量痛苦耐受程度啊! 這有什麼啟示呢? 又為人類帶來什麼希望呢? 我們總是本能地害怕熊市,但上述痛苦指數分佈告訴我們, 大部分的熊市(19次中的12次) ,在歷史的洪流中 根本不值一提 。 拿2020年新冠疫情爆發後的熊市為例 ,當時美股雖然跌得又快又猛,但反彈也迅速得不可思議。還記得當時的廁紙之亂嗎? 🧻 驀然回首,那也只不過是歷史上的一個小插曲而已。 當然,市場不會永遠溫柔以待, 就像那4次痛苦指數遠超80的熊市一樣 ,市場情緒上來的時候,還是會把你 徹頭徹尾地暴打一頓 。但好消息是,這其實也不常見。 結論: 長點膽子面對每次的熊市吧! 所以我們到底想說什麼呢? 熊市總會發生,痛苦也注定會降臨。但不是所有的熊市都像洪水猛獸一樣可怕。 就算市場給了你【面目全非腳】,我們也可以期待從天而降的唐伯虎使出【還我漂漂拳】。因為大部分熊市都只是短暫的、可恢復的小插曲。 那如果真讓咱們碰上了洪水猛獸,該怎麼辦呢? 👹 首先恭喜您,洪水猛獸還真不常見,如果「有幸」碰上一個,希望我們都能在戰鬥中,贏得一些值得炫耀的傷痕,以及未來的吹噓資本。多年後,從容講述我們如何挺過洪水猛獸般熊市的故事! 當然啦,要是有了【瑜新家族辦公室】的協助,就算碰上洪水猛獸,也會有人與您並肩作戰! 您若是 瑪利歐 ,我就是 路易吉 ,一起從酷霸王手上解救 碧琪公主 。今天就聯繫我們吧! 以上資訊僅供參考,並非投資或產品建議。 書本裡的熱話 – 輝達之道: 「我們再三十天就要破產了!」 輝達的創始三劍客: 各司其職的完美搭檔 要講出好的故事,得先有好的主角。 在輝達的故事中,男主角就是三位創始人: 黃仁勳、Curtis Priem和Chris Malachowsky 。(以下開始簡稱為 皮衣老黃、天才老霹和鬍子老馬 ,對,因為我跟他們很熟。) 皮衣老黃 : 燃燒自我的領袖 🔥老黃出生於台灣,但很早就移居美國了。沒什麼背景的他,端盤子、掃廁所、洗碗什麼髒活累活都幹過,最終進入俄勒岡州州立大學學習電機工程。 說來有趣,他的職業生涯竟然是從 AMD (對,就是輝達現在的勁敵AMD)開始,在那裡擔任微處理器設計工程師。但是他很快就對枯燥的設計工作感到厭煩了,所以跳槽到 LSI Logistics ,那是一間致力於簡化晶片設計流程的公司。 皮衣老黃當時是LSI的客戶經理,負責協助客戶端處理晶片設計的相關問題。冥冥之中自有定數,他負責的第一個客戶,就是 昇陽電腦(Sun Microsystems) ,昇陽的對接窗口正是 天才老霹 和 鬍子老馬 這個雙人小組。 天才老霹: 圖形晶片設計大師 🎨 天才老霹是推動顯示卡發展的 傳奇人物 ,但當時昇陽電腦裡官僚拍馬文化盛行,天才老霹知道圖形晶片的潛能不可限量,他想要自由創作、自立門戶,不受昇陽的束縛及拖累。 鬍子老馬: 執行力鬼才 💡鬍子老馬一直都是天才老霹的 最佳拍檔 ,只有他才能把天才老霹天馬行空的設計,拉回地球並製造成實際可用的產品。這倆就是圖形晶片界的雙子星,充滿創意,渴望突破傳統,打造自己的夢想。 終於有一天, 天才老霹 和 鬍子老馬 決定帶著他們擅長的圖形晶片單飛,但他們知道自己空有專業知識,對企業經營、商業談判等技巧一竅不通,所以就想到了還在LSI的客戶經理 - 皮衣老黃 正是最佳人選! 於是在1993年的某一天 ,三劍客在一間平價連鎖餐廳的角落,訂下了輝達的創業計畫。他們為公司取名 Nvidia,靈感來自 拉丁文 Invidia,也就是「羨慕」的意思 。 「我們就是要成為所有人羨慕的對象」 , 皮衣老黃說。 Source: https://www.maginative.com/article/15-incredible-stats-to-appreciate-nvidias-rise-to-the-most-valuable-company-in-the-world/ 第一滴血: 第一代晶片NV1的慘痛教訓 輝達成立以後沒多久,就從創投基金紅杉資本(Sequoia)以及薩特山基金(Sutter Hill Ventures)手上拿到了第一筆資金,開始推進 第一代圖形晶片NV1 的設計及生產。 這是一款為了追求極致效果的電玩用家所打造的圖形晶片! 天才老霹把他的畢生絕學都傾注在了這個晶片上,不但加入了 極致創新的圖形顯示技術 ,還因為他覺得當時流行的音效卡音質實在太爛了,所以在這個圖形晶片上 也加了音效功能 ,就是要為電玩用家提供最極致的「影」+ 「音」體驗。 但夢想與現實,又豈止是豐滿與骨感的分別。 雖然天才老霹的創新圖形顯示技術,突破了當時的行業極限,但也正因如此,包括微軟在內的主流遊戲開發商 都無法也不想支持NV1的運行格式 。NV1新增的音效功能更是多此一舉,不僅使得NV1售價過高,也造成NV1 與本身已經有獨立音效卡的電腦無法兼容。 「我們以為有了殺手級的 技術 就夠了」 ,天才老霹後來感嘆。 「結果卻發現,沒有用家真正想要的殺手級 應用 ,再殺手的技術也只能在牆上掛著」。 Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9GkuM_JJCuk 第二代晶片NV2: 苟延殘喘之作 在NV1慘敗之後,輝達推出了第二代晶片NV2。唉,沒什麼好期待的, NV2 沒有任何突破性的創新,他的存在只是為了完成與 日本遊戲公司Sega 簽訂的合約條款,拿到合約裡剩下的100萬美元救命錢而已。 連續兩款失敗的晶片,讓輝達陷入了困境。流動資金枯竭, 本來約百人的公司不得不裁員一半, 才有希望苟延殘喘下去。 與此同時,圖形晶片界出現了另外一個強大的競爭者: 一間名為 3dfx 的公司。這間公司的創辦人曾參與過電影【侏儸紀公園】的恐龍特效設計,他們推出的 巫毒(Voodoo)圖形晶片 ,迅速搶佔了市場焦點。 「我們當時完全處於求生模式」 ,皮衣老黃承認, 「沒有什麼偉大的計劃,只是想方設法地活下去」。 生與死的邊緣: 300萬美金與一場豪賭 1996年底,輝達看起來就快要不行了... 皮衣老黃查了查銀行帳戶,裡面只剩下 300萬美元 ,勉強還能維持 九個月的營運 。但輝達必須推出一款可以起死回生的晶片,而且要快! 問題是,一款晶片從設計、測試到生產, 來回至少都得兩年 ,但輝達可等不起。 在皮衣老黃的帶領下,剩下的輝達員工全體 將士用命,打破常規 ,用盡所有手段來加速進程。工程師拋開傳統教條,在模擬器而非實體晶片上作出各項測試,對程式碼的各個漏洞逢山開路,遇水架橋,並祈禱晶片可以正常運作。 「我們只能邊發明邊前進」 ,鬍子老馬說。 而為了與過去失敗的形象一刀兩斷,輝達將這款新的晶片命名為 RIVA 128 ( R eal-time I nteractive V ideo and A nimation accelerator 128 bits wide,即時互動視像與動畫加速器128位元架構)。 當承載全村人希望的RIVA 128於1997年8月正式發布時,輝達帳上剩下的現金,只能夠應付未來 三十天 的薪資支出而已了。 Source: https://gigazine.net/gsc_news/en/20231129-nvidia-jensen-huang/ 改寫命運的 RIVA 128 然後,希望終於出現了! RIVA 128 以雷霆之勢震撼市場, 帶來了令人驚嘆的流暢 3D 圖形技術,令電玩用家瘋狂。遊戲開發商也喜歡它與現有格式的高度兼容性。沒有華而不實的噱頭,沒有畫蛇添足的音效卡 - 只有純粹強大的性能,以及親民的價格! 訂單蜂擁而至。輝達靠著RIVA 128 一舉拿下了 個人電腦圖形晶片市場 的20%市占率,成功甩開 3dfx 的陰影。 皮衣老黃到今天都不肯忘記這個教訓,更把這次的經歷作為 輝達非官方的座右銘: 「我們再三十天就要破產了 (Our company is thirty days from going out of business)」。 不知道您覺得這段故事有趣嗎? 輝達的挑戰之旅才剛剛開始呢, 從RIVA 128的逆轉勝,到成為今天的AI天王 ,輝達一路走來還有更多數不盡的傷疤,我日後會再慢慢與您分享,敬請期待! 新創公司陷阱: 輝達跨過去的檻,我跨得過嗎? 輝達的NV1晶片徹底失敗了 - 雖然技驚四座,但還是沒人想要! 許多新創公司往往也會掉進這個陷阱,我也正在努力求解: 我的產品/服務「真的」為客戶帶來價值了嗎? 新創公司常常容易自嗨,以為自己的創新有多麼厲害,但到頭來,原來我只感動了我自己。要是這些創意不能讓客戶的生活更美好,那根本沒人會有興趣! 有夢想固然很好,但實用性才是存活的關鍵。 我的產品/服務是否適合目前的「大環境」? 輝達的NV1是一項科技奇蹟,但因為與當時主流的格式無法兼容,就像再美麗的外星人,也未必符合地球人的審美框架。學到了一課: 新創的價值主張必須與客戶所處的大環境相契合,否則還是註定要失敗的。 我可以「吸引」客戶主動上門,而不僅是被動地「說服」他們嗎? 輝達的RIVA 128不用說服電玩用家,他憑著卓越性能,就可以「吸引」用家爭先恐後地購買。這才是終極目標: 讓客戶主動需要,而不是費盡口舌(或利用每周周報)推銷。 雖然創立了【瑜新家族辦公室】,但其實我大部分的時間都不知道自己在幹嘛,走的方向對嗎? 做的研究有用嗎? 我的作業會有客戶想看嗎? 沒人知道,只能在不停的試錯、修改、失敗中慢慢摸索。 如果您有任何想法或是建議,歡迎隨時聯繫我們,靜候指教! 再請皮衣老黃出場一次。他曾在一次史丹佛大學的演講上,對著台下滿眼放光的學生們說: 「我祝你們大量的痛苦與磨難 (I wi sh you ample doses of pain and suffering) 」,因為這才是通往成功的唯一途徑! 四月中旬再見啦! 以上資訊僅供參考,並非投資或產品建議。 瑜新家族辦公室 家族辦公室一般可分為兩種,「單一家族辦公室」是由單一家族直接設立,為該家族提供全面的財富管理服務。而「聯合家族辦公室」則同時為多個家族服務,提供較為標準化的產品,與私人銀行相似。 瑜新結合兩者的優勢,在服務層面上,根據每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的財富管理顧問服務;在執行層面上,為您省卻了設立單一家族辦公室所需的繁瑣行政程序,利用瑜新的聯合家族辦公室平台,可以更有效率地達成您的目標。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • Vol 18 – Slow and Steady Wins the Race?

    The co-founders of Jadewell Family Office - Ann (right) and Leo (left) March 23rd, 2025 This week, the two dream-weavers behind Jadewell Family Office finally emerged from behind the scenes for a photo together under our logo. Cheers to more small-but-significant milestones ahead! 🥂🎉 For the newsletter, we're here to answer 3 interesting questions: 1️⃣ Slow and Steady Wins the Race? 🐢 I'm going to show you a fascinating chart of battle between two "managers" for the past five years. Can you guess who they are? Can the slow but steady one win in the end? 2️⃣ Who Stole the Spotlight from Jensen Huang at Nvidia's Big AI Conference? 🕺Someone stole the spotlight at Nvidia's Big AI Conference. Picture this: it’s cute, it nodded, and it shook its bottom in front of everyone. The crowd went wild. And it actually holds a deeper message for the future of humankind. 3️⃣ What is THE Infrastructure Asset That Most Sovereign Wealth Funds Like? 💎 This global treasure is a shared gem among sovereign wealth funds, yet its bonds are rated as... junk??? Category Contents for this Week 1) Chart of the Week Slow and Steady Wins the Race? 2) Market Buzz Who Stole the Spotlight from Jensen Huang at Nvidia's Big AI Conference (GTC 2025)? 3) Fun Facts What is THE Infrastructure Asset That Most Sovereign Wealth Funds Like? Key things to watch for the upcoming week: China/HK - Earnings Mar 24 (Mon) - BYD (1211 HK), BYD Electronics (285 HK),Sunny Optical (2382 HK) Mar 25 (Tue) - China Merchants Bank (3968 HK), China Resources Land (1109 HK), Kuaishou (1024 HK) Mar 26 (Wed) - Bank of China (3988 HK), SenseTime (20 HK) Mar 27 (Thu) - CNOOC (883 HK) US – Earnings Mar 27 (Thu) - Lululemon (LULU) US – Eco Data Mar 24 (Mon) - US Manufacturing PMI, US Services PMI Mar 27 (Thu) - US 4Q GDP Mar 28 (Fri) - US Feb Core PCE Other Events Mar 26 (Wed) - UK Feb CPI Mar 28 (Fri) - UK 4Q GDP Chart of the Week – Slow and Steady Wins the Race? Feast your eyes on the chart below — a vivid tale of a five-year duel between two "managers." This isn't just a graph; it's the battleground where performance met perseverance. The orange manager burst out of the gate with explosive energy and dominated the arena from 2020 to 2021. Momentum was on its side, and the lead seemed almost unstoppable . But as the race wore on, the stakes rose. In early 2022, the tides began to shift, plunging both orange and white contenders into a grueling head-to-head struggle. Then came 2025, the climactic showdown where the white manager , despite lagging so much behind in the beginning of the race, unleashed a stunning comeback, at least for now. Source: Bloomberg (from 3/20/2020 to 3/19/2025) Have you guessed who these two managers are? White is the old guy that we've been playfully teasing about for the past few weeks - Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway! As for the Orange ? That's you and me and everyone else - the S&P 500 index . This chart fascinates me for two key reasons: 1️⃣ Long-term investments are about survival, not speed.   The name of the game is limiting the drawdowns. It’s fine to lag behind now and then - or even most of the time - as long as you avoid big losses along the way. Slow and steady wins the race. 2️⃣ Even Buffett had to fight tooth and nail.  For a heavyweight like Buffett, equipped with unparalleled resources and access, beating the market was no walk in the park. For everyday investors like you and me? Let’s just say it’s a good reminder to stay humble and avoid the temptation of overreaching. What are your takeaways from this battle of the titans? For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. Market Buzz – Who Stole the Spotlight from Jensen Huang at Nvidia's Big AI Conference (GTC 2025)? This past week, Nvidia lit up San Jose with its annual AI extravaganza, GTC 2025 . As expected, Jensen Huang , the ever-dynamic CEO of Nvidia, took center stage during the keynote to unveil the company's exciting road map for next-generation AI chipsets and architectures - Blackwell Ultra and Vera Rubin platform. But let’s set aside the tech-heavy details (after all, it’s Sunday, and we deserve something a bit more lighthearted). To me, the real showstopper was the adorable little companion that Huang brought on stage - 🤖 a cute robot named “Blue.” 🤖 Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-gtc-keynote-live-jensen-huang-rubin-blackwell-ultra-2025-3 Blue definitely stole the show - beeping, nodding its head, and even shaking its bottom with charm and personality! Check out the video  and see for yourself! If you think Blue looks like some character come to life straight out of a Star Wars movie, you're not far off. Blue is the stunning result of a collaboration between Nvidia, Google DeepMind, and Disney Research (yes, the same Disney that owns Star Wars). And according to Disney, starting next year, you could probably meet Blue in person at Disney theme parks! But wait, there’s more - something even bigger is brewing behind the scenes. Nvidia is working on an AI foundation model for robot training called Groot N1 , and the game-changer? It’s going to be open-sourced! That means Nvidia is handing out the blueprint for making robot brains to anyone with the ability to create robot bodies. Think about it: robotic developers, automakers, and startups from around the world could bring these “brains” to life in their own creations. The possibilities are endless, and we’re standing on the brink of a robotics revolution. “The age of generalist robotics is here,” said Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. Fun Facts – What is THE Infrastructure Asset That Most Sovereign Wealth Funds Like? Last week, I stumbled upon a fascinating YouTuber from China talking about Top 10 Sovereign Wealth Funds - it’s the kind of video that pulls you in even if you don’t usually keep tabs on finance. (Heads up: it’s in Mandarin.) Here’s the part that really caught my attention: As she examined the world's largest sovereign wealth funds, she noticed an interesting overlap. On the private side of these funds' portfolios, they seemed to share one prized gem - ✈️ Heathrow Airport! ✈️ Now, Heathrow Airport Holdings isn’t your typical stock market darling - it’s a private company. According to their website, the major shareholders of Heathrow Airport include: Ardian  (a French private equity firm): 22.61% Qatar Investment Authority  (Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund ): 20.00% Public Investment Fund  (Saudi Arabia’s sovereign wealth fund ): 15.01% Australian Retirement Trust  (Australia’s sovereign wealth fund ): 11.18% China Investment Corporation  (China’s sovereign wealth fund ): 10.00% Ferrovial S.A.  (a Spanish infrastructure titan): 5.25% Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec  (Canada’s sovereign wealth fund ): 2.65% Universities Superannuation Scheme  (UK’s sovereign wealth fund ): 2.10% You see what I mean now? 😯👉💡 Back in my private banking days, we've also traded some Heathrow related stuffs for our clients - the bonds issued by the Heathrow group . After all, it wasn't easy to find solutions for clients' idle EUR and GBP cash! Heathrow has two entities for bond issuance, each catering to very different investor appetites. 1️⃣ Heathrow Funding Ltd This entity mainly issues "secured debt (i.e. bonds with collateral)" to raise funding specifically for the airport's operations - think of checking passenger in, boarding passengers, delivering baggage, and on-board catering etc. ➡️ These bonds are rated Investment Grade: BBB+ (S&P) and A- (Fitch). 2️⃣ Heathrow Finance Plc Now, this is where things get... spicy. 🌶️ Operating higher up in the group financial hierarchy, Heathrow Finance doesn’t generate revenue itself - it depends on cashflows trickling up from subsidiaries like Heathrow Funding Ltd (the one we mentioned earlier). Because of that, the bonds issued by this entity are usually unsecured , backed by nothing but promises. The result? ➡️ These bonds are rated Non-Investment Grade: B1 (Moody's) and BB+ (Fitch). Pretty bold for a company ultimately backed by some of the wealthiest nations on the planet, huh? 😏😏 🌟 Head over to Jadewell Family Office official website , check us out and subscribe to our weekly newsletter for all the fun-filled updates!   🚀✨ Source: https://wolfstreet.com/credit-rating-scales-by-moodys-sp-and-fitch/ For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. About Jadewell Family Office Jadewell is committed to offering proactive, customized services akin to a “single-family office,” yet within the ease of a “multi-family office” environment. Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 第十八篇 - 慢慢来,比较快?

    【瑜新家族办公室】的两位创办人 - 俞颖(图右) + 陈新荣 (图左) 2025年3月23日 【瑜新家族办公室】的心口挂着勇字的两位创办人 - 俞颖(Ann)与陈新荣(Leo),本周终于露出真面目啦! 「阳光明媚吗? 陈总」 ☀️☀️☀️ 「春暖花开呀! 俞总」 🌻🌻🌻 🎉邀请您与我们一起创造更多「小而不凡」的里程碑,稳步向前,笑看小事变大事!🥂 本周的周报内容,将为您解答三个超有趣的问题: 1️⃣ 慢慢来,真的可以比较快? 🐢 我准备了一个 「战斗」图表 ,表上显示两个真实存在的「经理人」,在过去五年的绩效表现对决。光看图表,您能猜到他们是谁吗? 慢慢来的那一位经理人,最后真的可以胜出吗? 2️⃣ 是谁在辉达的年度AI大会上,抢走了黄仁勋的风头? 🕺没错,竟然有人敢在辉达的主场舞台上,用「扭屁股」这种伎俩,从黄仁勋身上抢走所有人的目光! 他~是~谁!? 又将对我们的未来做出什麽改变? 3️⃣ 全世界最有钱的主权基金都抢着买的基建资产是? 💎 说到这一个基建资产,您和我都绝对不会陌生,可以说是各国主权基金难得和平共有的一个瑰宝。但尴尬的是,这个瑰宝发行的某些债券,竟然被评为.... 垃圾级别??? 目录 本周內容 1) 每周一 图 慢慢来,真的可以比较快? 过去五年的真实投资对决! 2) 市场热话 是谁在辉达的年度AI大会上,抢走了黄仁勋的风头? 3) 您知道 吗 ? 全世界最有钱的主权基金都抢着买的基建资产是? 未來一周值得留意的大事有: 中国/香港 - 业绩 3月24日(周一) - 比亚迪 (1211 HK), 比亚迪电子 (285 HK), 舜宇光学 (2382 HK) 3月25日(周二) - 招商银行 (3968 HK), 华润置地 (1109 HK), 快手 (1024 HK) 3月26日(周三) - 中国银行 (3988 HK), 商汤 (20 HK) 3月27日(周四) - 中海油 (883 HK) 美国 - 业绩 3月27日(周四) - Lululemon (LULU) 美国 - 经济数据 3月24日(周一) - 美国製造业PMI, 美国服务业PMI 3月27日(周四) - 美国第四季GDP 3月28日(周五) - 美国二月份核心PCE通胀数据 其他大事 3月26日(周三) - 英国二月份CPI通胀数据 3月28日(周五) - 英国第四季GDP 每周一 图 – 慢慢来,真的可以比较快? 过去五年的真实投资对决! 我从Bloomberg 下载了下面这张图表。噢不,他不仅是一张图表,更是一片「战场」,生动地讲述了两个「经理人」之间,横跨五年的激烈较量,实力与毅力的巅峰对决! 橙色线所代表的经理人(下称【橙总】) 在2020年一开局便以爆发性的动能统治了整个赛场,气势如虹的他, 领先优势无人能敌 ,称霸了整个2020年及2021年。 虽然落后,但 白色线所代表的经理人(下称【白总】) 并没有放弃! 随着时间推移,局势于2022年春天出现逆转, 橙总 与 白总 陷入了 势均力敌的胶着战 ,此起彼落,互不相让。 胶着的局面一直到上个月,也就是2025年2月,才被显着打破。儘管 白总 在赛局初期大幅跑输,却在最后的关键时刻,完成了 精采的逆袭 ,打败了 橙总 - 慢慢来,真的可以比较快! 至少截至目前为止是这样啦,未来的事,不好说。 Source: Bloomberg (from 3/20/2020 to 3/19/2025) 您猜到这两位「经理人」是谁了吗? 白总 正是我们过去几周一直调侃的老先生 - 巴菲特的波克夏股价走势! 至于 橙总 ? 那是您自己、那是我、那是所有人的众志成城 - 标普五百指数 。 这张图对我有两点启示: 1️⃣ 就像跑马拉松一样,长线投资比的不是爆发力,而是逆境时的生存能力。 长线投资的秘诀在于减少回撤损失的幅度。偶尔落后,甚至长期落后都无妨,能够妥善控制投资路上的亏损风险,才是最终胜出的关键。慢而稳,真的可以比较快。 2️⃣ 即使是巴菲特,也要用尽浑身解数才能打败大盘。 即使像巴菲特这样,拥有无与伦比的资源、直达天听等各种掌握消息的管道,要击败大盘仍旧不是一件容易的事。所以对于像您和我这样的普通投资者来说呢,这提醒我们时刻保持谦逊,不要贪心,脚踏实地才是硬道理。 您对于这场对决,又有什麽看法呢? For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 市场热话 – 是谁在辉达的年度AI大会上,抢走了黄仁勋的风头? 上周,辉达(Nvidia)在加州圣荷西举办了年度AI盛会 - GTC 2025。 辉达CEO黄仁勋在会上发表了主题演讲,讲述了关于辉达下一代的人工智能布局 - 包括Blackwell Ultra芯片还有Vera Rubin平台。 不过别担心,这篇周报发表的时间是 周日 ,不是适合讨论这些艰涩技术细节的时间,所以咱们只聊点轻松愉快的东西。 对我来说,这场大会的亮点,其实是黄仁勋带上舞台的这位可爱小伙伴 - 🤖 名为【Blue】的机器人 🤖 Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-gtc-keynote-live-jensen-huang-rubin-blackwell-ultra-2025-3 Blue 毫无疑问成为了全场的焦点。他跟在黄仁勋身后,哔来哔去,随着谈话内容点头示意,害羞的时候还会摇两下屁股,实在是相当可爱。您有兴趣的话可以 点击这个视频 ,亲眼感受一下Blue的魅力。 如果您是电影迷,可能会觉得 Blue 长得似曾相识,像是从星际大战电影里跑出来的角色? 您猜得没错! Blue是由 辉达、谷歌DeepMind、Disney Research 联手打造出来的杰作 (对,就是那个拥有星际大战版权的迪士尼)。据迪士尼透露,明年开始,Blue 可能会出现在各个迪士尼主题公园,亲自对你摇屁股喔! 当然,这麽大阵仗的投资,不是只为了一个小小的娱乐机器人而已 - 更宏观的计划正在酝酿中! 黄仁勋和Blue携手宣布,辉达名为 Groot N1 的机器人训练模型, 即将开源 (open-sourced) ! 辉达将与全球开发者分享设计机器人大脑的蓝图! 想像一下: 全球所有的机器人製造商、汽车製造商、或各种初创公司,都可以藉由这个公开的蓝图,为他们的机器人装上大脑,未来可能性无穷无尽, 我们正站在机器人革命的前沿! 各位观众,「 通用机器人的时代已经到来啦 (The age of generalist robotics is here) 」,辉达CEO黄仁勋强调。 For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 您知道吗? – 全世界最有钱的主权基金都抢着买的基建资产是? 几天前我逛着网路,为每周周报找灵感的时候,偶然刷到一位 中国的财经网红 ,她对于全球十大主权基金的详细介绍,真的相当有趣,有兴趣您也可以看看。 视频有个让我眼睛一亮的细节: 就是当她在分析这些大型主权基金旗下持仓的时候,发现在许多基金的投资组合里,竟然都不约而同地持有同一个宝贝 - ✈️ 伦敦希思罗机场(Heathrow Airport) ! ✈️ 我们平常可能从来没想过要买希思罗机场的股票,那也正常,因为这是一间 私人 公司,一般投资者是没有公开渠道可以买卖的。 依照希思罗机场的官网资讯,目前主要股东包括: Ardian  (法国私募股权公司): 22.61% Qatar Investment Authority  (卡达尔 主权基金 ): 20.00% Public Investment Fund  (沙乌地阿拉伯 主权基金 ): 15.01% Australian Retirement Trust  (澳大利亚 主权基金 ): 11.18% China Investment Corporation  (中国 主权基金 ): 10.00% Ferrovial S.A.  (西班牙基础建设巨头): 5.25% Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec  (加拿大 主权基金 ): 2.65% Universities Superannuation Scheme  (英国 主权基金 ): 2.10% 您懂我的意思了吧? 这份股东名单是多麽的世界大同呀 👉💡 还记得我以前在私人银行工作的时候,也曾经为客户交易过一些与希思罗机场有关的投资,例如 由希思罗所发行的英镑或欧元计价的债券 。 希思罗旗下有两个用来发行债券的公司,发的债券却相当不同喔: 1️⃣ Heathrow Funding Ltd 这个发债公司主要发行 「有担保的债务(就是有抵押品支持的债券)」 ,为机场的基础营运筹措资金,例如帮乘客办理check-in、登机、行李运输以及机上餐饮等等。➡️ 这些债券的评级是「投资级」: 评级机构标普(S&P)给出的评级为BBB+,惠誉(Fitch)给出的评级则为A-。 (若您对债券评级机制不熟悉,请参阅以下的债券评级表,或是直接联络我们喔) 2️⃣ Heathrow Finance Plc 这第二个发债公司就刺激了🌶️ 做为集团财务体系中的 上层控股公司 ,这第二个发债公司自己本身 并不直接产生收入 ,而是依赖集团下层真正有经营业务的实体们(例如第一个发债公司),这些实体辛苦耕耘赚来的收入以及现金流,扣掉自己的负债后,才有闲钱 上缴 给上层控股公司去还债。 也因为如此,这第二个发债公司所发行的债券,大多是 「无担保的(就是没有抵押品,大家讲个信字而已)」 。➡️ 结果呢? 这些债券的评级就被列为「非投资级」,也可称为「投机级」或「垃圾级」: 评级机构穆迪(Moody's)给出的评级为 B1,惠誉(Fitch)给出的评级则为BB+。 当然,这些评级机构所给出的债券评级,后面还有各种複杂的原因,为了不让周报变得太枯燥,我们就不详细说明了。 不过直观来看, 对于一家由全球最有钱的几个国家当股东的公司,发出的债券还竟然只是垃圾级别,还真是相当有趣的一件事。 😏😏 🌟 瑜新家族办公室的 官方网站 已经开始运作啦,快去看看我们,顺便订阅每周周报,在欢笑中掌握最新财经娱乐,心情更舒爽喔!   🚀✨ Source: https://www.fidelity.com.hk/zh/start-investing/learn-about-investing/bond-investing-made-simple/understanding-investment-grade-and-high-yield-bonds For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 瑜新家族办公室 家族办公室一般可分为两种,「单一家族办公室」是由单一家族直接设立,为该家族提供全面的财富管理服务。而「联合家族办公室」则同时为多个家族服务,提供较为标准化的产品,与私人银行相似。 瑜新结合两者的优势,在服务层面上,根据每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的财富管理顾问服务;在执行层面上,为您省却了设立单一家族办公室所需的繁琐行政程序,利用瑜新的联合家族办公室平台,可以更有效率地达成您的目标。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 第十八篇 - 慢慢來,比較快?

    【瑜新家族辦公室】的兩位創辦人 - 俞穎(圖右) + 陳新榮 (圖左) 2025年3月23日 【瑜新家族辦公室】的心口掛著勇字的兩位創辦人 - 俞穎(Ann)與陳新榮(Leo),本周終於露出真面目啦! 「陽光明媚嗎? 陳總」 ☀️☀️☀️ 「春暖花開呀! 俞總」 🌻🌻🌻 🎉邀請您與我們一起創造更多「小而不凡」的里程碑,穩步向前,笑看小事變大事!🥂 本周的周報內容,將為您解答三個超有趣的問題: 1️⃣ 慢慢來,真的可以比較快? 🐢 我準備了一個 「戰鬥」圖表 ,表上顯示兩個真實存在的「經理人」,在過去五年的績效表現對決。光看圖表,您能猜到他們是誰嗎? 慢慢來的那一位經理人,最後真的可以勝出嗎? 2️⃣ 是誰在輝達的年度AI大會上,搶走了黃仁勳的風頭? 🕺沒錯,竟然有人敢在輝達的主場舞台上,用「扭屁股」這種伎倆,從黃仁勳身上搶走所有人的目光! 他~是~誰!? 又將對我們的未來做出什麼改變? 3️⃣ 全世界最有錢的主權基金都搶著買的基建資產是? 💎 說到這一個基建資產,您和我都絕對不會陌生,可以說是各國主權基金難得和平共有的一個瑰寶。但尷尬的是,這個瑰寶發行的某些債券,竟然被評為.... 垃圾級別 ??? 目錄 本周內容 1) 每周一圖 慢慢來,真的可以比較快? 過去五年的真實投資對決! 2) 市場熱話 是誰在輝達的年度AI大會上,搶走了黃仁勳的風頭? 3) 您知道嗎? 全世界最有錢的主權基金都搶著買的基建資產是? 未來一周值得留意的大事有: 中國/香港 - 業績 3月24日(周一) - 比亞迪 (1211 HK), 比亞迪電子 (285 HK), 舜宇光學 (2382 HK) 3月25日(周二) - 招商銀行 (3968 HK), 華潤置地 (1109 HK), 快手 (1024 HK) 3月26日(周三) - 中國銀行 (3988 HK), 商湯 (20 HK) 3月27日(周四) - 中海油 (883 HK) 美國 - 業績 3月27日(周四) - Lululemon (LULU) 美國 - 經濟數據 3月24日(周一) - 美國製造業PMI, 美國服務業PMI 3月27日(周四) - 美國第四季GDP 3月28日(周五) - 美國二月份核心PCE通脹數據 其他大事 3月26日(周三) - 英國二月份CPI通脹數據 3月28日(周五) - 英國第四季GDP 每周一圖 – 慢慢來,真的可以比較快? 過去五年的真實投資對決! 我從Bloomberg 下載了下面這張圖表。噢不,他不僅是一張圖表,更是一片「戰場」,生動地講述了兩個「經理人」之間,橫跨五年的激烈較量,實力與毅力的巔峰對決! 橙色線所代表的經理人(下稱【橙總】) 在2020年一開局便以爆發性的動能統治了整個賽場,氣勢如虹的他, 領先優勢無人能敵 ,稱霸了整個2020年及2021年。 雖然落後,但 白色線所代表的經理人(下稱【白總】) 並沒有放棄! 隨著時間推移,局勢於2022年春天出現逆轉, 橙總 與 白總 陷入了 勢均力敵的膠著戰 ,此起彼落,互不相讓。 膠著的局面一直到上個月,也就是2025年2月,才被顯著打破。儘管 白總 在賽局初期大幅跑輸,卻在最後的關鍵時刻,完成了 精采的逆襲 ,打敗了 橙總 - 慢慢來,真的可以比較快! 至少截至目前為止是這樣啦,未來的事,不好說。 Source: Bloomberg (from 3/20/2020 to 3/19/2025) 您猜到這兩位「經理人」是誰了嗎? 白總 正是我們過去幾周一直調侃的老先生 - 巴菲特的波克夏股價走勢! 至於 橙總 ? 那是您自己、那是我、那是所有人的眾志成城 - 標普五百指數。 這張圖對我有兩點啟示: 1️⃣ 就像跑馬拉松一樣,長線投資比的不是爆發力,而是逆境時的生存能力。 長線投資的秘訣在於減少回撤損失的幅度。偶爾落後,甚至長期落後都無妨,能夠妥善控制投資路上的虧損風險,才是最終勝出的關鍵。慢而穩,真的可以比較快。 2️⃣ 即使是巴菲特,也要用盡渾身解數才能打敗大盤。 即使像巴菲特這樣,擁有無與倫比的資源、直達天聽等各種掌握消息的管道,要擊敗大盤仍舊不是一件容易的事。所以對於像您和我這樣的普通投資者來說呢,這提醒我們時刻保持謙遜,不要貪心,腳踏實地才是硬道理。 您對於這場對決,又有什麼看法呢? For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 市場熱話 – 是誰在輝達的年度AI大會上,搶走了黃仁勳的風頭? 上周,輝達(Nvidia)在加州聖荷西舉辦了年度AI盛會 - GTC 2025。 輝達CEO黃仁勳在會上發表了主題演講,講述了關於輝達下一代的人工智能布局 - 包括Blackwell Ultra芯片還有Vera Rubin平台。 不過別擔心,這篇周報發表的時間是 周日 ,不是適合討論這些艱澀技術細節的時間,所以咱們只聊點輕鬆愉快的東西。 對我來說,這場大會的亮點,其實是黃仁勳帶上舞台的這位可愛小夥伴 - 🤖 名為【Blue】的機器人 🤖 Source: https://www.businessinsider.com/nvidia-gtc-keynote-live-jensen-huang-rubin-blackwell-ultra-2025-3 Blue 毫無疑問成為了全場的焦點。他跟在黃仁勳身後,嗶來嗶去,隨著談話內容點頭示意,害羞的時候還會搖兩下屁股,實在是相當可愛。您有興趣的話可以 點擊這個視頻 ,親眼感受一下Blue的魅力。 如果您是電影迷,可能會覺得 Blue 長得似曾相識,像是從星際大戰電影裡跑出來的角色? 您猜得沒錯! Blue是由 輝達、谷歌DeepMind、Disney Research 聯手打造出來的傑作 (對,就是那個擁有星際大戰版權的迪士尼)。據迪士尼透露,明年開始,Blue 可能會出現在各個迪士尼主題公園,親自對你搖屁股喔! 當然,這麼大陣仗的投資,不是只為了一個小小的娛樂機器人而已 - 更宏觀的計劃正在醞釀中! 黃仁勳和Blue攜手宣布,輝達名為 Groot N1 的機器人訓練模型, 即將開源 (open-sourced)! 輝達將與全球開發者分享設計機器人大腦的藍圖! 想像一下: 全球所有的機器人製造商、汽車製造商、或各種初創公司,都可以藉由這個公開的藍圖,為他們的機器人裝上大腦,未來可能性無窮無盡, 我們正站在機器人革命的前沿! 各位觀眾,「 通用機器人的時代已經到來啦 (The age of generalist robotics is here) 」,輝達CEO黃仁勳強調。 For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 您知道嗎? – 全世界最有錢的主權基金都搶著買的基建資產是? 幾天前我逛著網路,為每周周報找靈感的時候,偶然刷到一位 中國的財經網紅 ,她對於全球十大主權基金的詳細介紹,真的相當有趣,有興趣您也可以看看。 視頻有個讓我眼睛一亮的細節: 就是當她在分析這些大型主權基金旗下持倉的時候,發現在許多基金的投資組合裡,竟然都不約而同地持有同一個寶貝 - ✈️ 倫敦希思羅機場 ( Heathrow Airport) ! ✈️ 我們平常可能從來沒想過要買希思羅機場的股票,那也正常,因為這是一間 私人 公司,一般投資者是沒有公開渠道可以買賣的。 依照希思羅機場的官網資訊,目前主要股東包括: Ardian  (法國私募股權公司): 22.61% Qatar Investment Authority  (卡達爾 主權基金 ): 20.00% Public Investment Fund  (沙烏地阿拉伯 主權基金 ): 15.01% Australian Retirement Trust  (澳大利亞 主權基金 ): 11.18% China Investment Corporation  (中國 主權基金 ): 10.00% Ferrovial S.A.  (西班牙基礎建設巨頭): 5.25% Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec  (加拿大 主權基金 ): 2.65% Universities Superannuation Scheme  (英國 主權基金 ): 2.10% 您懂我的意思了吧? 這份股東名單是多麼的世界大同呀 👉💡 還記得我以前在私人銀行工作的時候,也曾經為客戶交易過一些與希思羅機場有關的投資,例如 由希思羅所發行的英鎊或歐元計價的債券 。 希思羅旗下有兩個用來發行債券的公司,發的債券卻相當不同喔: 1️⃣ Heathrow Funding Ltd 這個發債公司主要發行 「有擔保的債務(就是有抵押品支持的債券)」 ,為機場的基礎營運籌措資金,例如幫乘客辦理check-in、登機、行李運輸以及機上餐飲等等。➡️ 這些債券的評級是「投資級」: 評級機構標普(S&P)給出的評級為BBB+,惠譽(Fitch)給出的評級則為A-。 (若您對債券評級機制不熟悉,請參閱以下的債券評級表,或是直接聯絡我們喔) 2️⃣ Heathrow Finance Plc 這第二個發債公司就刺激了🌶️ 做為集團財務體系中的 上層控股公司 ,這第二個發債公司自己本身 並不直接產生收入 ,而是依賴集團下層真正有經營業務的實體們(例如第一個發債公司),這些實體辛苦耕耘賺來的收入以及現金流,扣掉自己的負債後,才有閒錢 上繳 給上層控股公司去還債。 也因為如此,這第二個發債公司所發行的債券,大多是 「無擔保的(就是沒有抵押品,大家講個信字而已)」。 ➡️ 結果呢? 這些債券的評級就被列為「非投資級」,也可稱為「投機級」或「垃圾級」: 評級機構穆迪(Moody's)給出的評級為 B1,惠譽(Fitch)給出的評級則為BB+。 當然,這些評級機構所給出的債券評級,後面還有各種複雜的原因,為了不讓周報變得太枯燥,我們就不詳細說明了。 不過直觀來看, 對於一家由全球最有錢的幾個國家當股東的公司,發出的債券還竟然只是垃圾級別,還真是相當有趣的一件事。 😏😏 🌟 瑜新家族辦公室的 官方網站 已經開始運作啦,快去看看我們,順便訂閱每周周報,在歡笑中掌握最新財經娛樂,心情更舒爽喔!   🚀✨ Source: https://www.fidelity.com.hk/zh/start-investing/learn-about-investing/bond-investing-made-simple/understanding-investment-grade-and-high-yield-bonds For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. 瑜新家族辦公室 家族辦公室一般可分為兩種,「單一家族辦公室」是由單一家族直接設立,為該家族提供全面的財富管理服務。而「聯合家族辦公室」則同時為多個家族服務,提供較為標準化的產品,與私人銀行相似。 瑜新結合兩者的優勢,在服務層面上,根據每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的財富管理顧問服務;在執行層面上,為您省卻了設立單一家族辦公室所需的繁瑣行政程序,利用瑜新的聯合家族辦公室平台,可以更有效率地達成您的目標。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 第十七篇 – 牛市總在絕望中誕生 & 「九十後」的巴菲特(下集)

    圖片來源: Millennium loses US$900 million on strategy roiled by market chaos - The Business Times 2025年3月16日  🎉 敲鑼打鼓望周知 🎉 我們終於把每周周報與「瑜新家族辦公室」的正式網站融合在一起啦! 周報的訂閱方式也簡單很多,只要在 網站 的底端輸入您的電郵地址,就可以自動收到我們的每周更新囉 ✨ 本周市場仍然相當波動,讓我歡喜讓我憂,像極了愛情。而美股科技七「雄」 ( M agnificent 7)也已經被某些銀行改稱科技七「熊」( L agnificent 7)了。 對此,我們除了默默留下幾滴眼淚以外,也引用傳奇基金經理人 約翰‧坦伯頓爵士 (John Templeton) 那段歷久不衰的箴言,希望大家槍林彈雨,好自為之。 "牛市總在絕望中誕生,在懷疑中成長,在樂觀中成熟,在狂歡中毀滅" "Bull markets are born on despair, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria." 其實,當市場如此劇烈變化的時候,最應該做的,就是把投資組合好好分析梳理一下, 找瑜新家族辦公室聊聊,可以有效紓解心中的憂慮喔! 本周周報準備了三個話題,都是與「錯誤」有點關係的。看看別人犯的錯,自己的心裡才會比較舒坦 (??) 1️⃣ 首先,市場消息稱, 巨型對沖基金千禧 (Millennium) 旗下的 「指數再平衡 (index rebalancing)」 交易策略,上個月出現大筆損失。到底這是種什麼策略? 造成的損失又為什麼可以令到千禧這個幾乎是全世界最大的對沖基金也要喊痛? 讓我們慢慢解釋給您聽。 2️⃣ 再來,本周繼續分享兩個 股神巴菲特曾犯下的錯誤 。大家還記得他很晚才開始買入科技股,他自己又是如何自嘲看走眼這件事呢? 希望我們也能像他一樣,用幽默的心態面對失誤,或許這才是長壽的秘訣! 3️⃣ 最後, 兩大基金公司 - 道富 ( State Street)和阿波羅(Apollo) 早前合力推出了一支 「反直覺」的交易所買賣基金(ETF) 。🤔 為什麼聰明的華爾街會做出違反直覺的事呢? 是出於絕望還是真有勇氣探索未知的領域? 讓我們看下去! 目錄 本周內容 1) 每周一策略 千禧基金的「指數再平衡」策略為什麼損失慘重? 2) 歷史熱話 那些年,巴菲特犯下的錯(下集) 3) 您知道嗎? 世上竟有如此「反直覺」的交易所買賣基金(ETF) 未來一周值得關注的大事: 中國/香港 - 業績 3月18日(周二) - 小米(1810.HK)、小鵬汽車(9868.HK)、騰訊音樂(1698.HK) 3月19日(周三)  - 騰訊(0700.HK)、平安保險(2318.HK)、中國聯通(0762.HK)、安踏(2020.HK)、金山雲(3896.HK) 3月20日(周四)  - 長江和記(0001.HK)、吉利汽車(0175.HK) 3月21日(周五)  - 蔚來汽車(9866.HK)、中國移動(0941.HK)、美團(3690.HK) 中國 - 經濟數據 3月17日(周一) - 工業生產、零售銷售 3月17日(周一) - 國務院新聞辦公室下午3時舉行新聞發布會,由國家發展改革委和財政部、人力資源社會保障部、商務部、人民銀行、市場監管總局負責人介紹提振消費情況。 美國 - 業績 3月20日(周四)  - Nike(NKE), 美光(MU) 美國 - 經濟數據 3月17日(周一)  - 零售數據 3月19日(周三)   - 美國聯儲局議息會議 其他重要大事 3月17-21日(周一至周五) - Nvidia GTC AI 大會 3月19日(周三)   - 日本央行議息會議 3月20日(周四) - 瑞士央行議息會議、英國央行議息會議 每周一策略 – 千禧基金的「指數再平衡」策略為什麼損失慘重? 先簡單回顧一下 「千禧(Millennium)」 - 千禧是一個 巨型的全球頂級對沖基金 ,旗下有三百多個交易團隊,每個團隊都使用不同的交易策略,有的炒股票、有的炒債券、有的炒外匯,千奇百怪、百花齊放。而對於千禧基金的投資者來說,就像是聘請了全球最聰明的三百多人來幫你做投資,再加上更聰明的千禧管理層幫你管控這三百多人加起來的交易風險 - 聽起來一切都很美好,只是費用也很高。 上周 市場消息 傳出,千禧眾多交易策略中的其中一種 - 「 指數再平衡(Index Rebalancing) 」策略,今年至今竟然出現 高達9億美元的虧損 。雖然這對千禧基金本身龐大的規模 750億美元 來說,似乎不是什麼大事,但要知道千禧最大的賣點,就是藉由分散的投資團隊以及 嚴苛的風險控制 ,達到整體基金投資報酬的高度穩定性。所以這樣的消息,還是震驚了市場。 報導稱,9億美元虧損主要來自於兩組團隊,其中一組由名叫 Glen Scheinberg 的交易員帶領。一般投資者應該沒聽過這人的名號,但在「指數再平衡」這個領域中,他是有著 「王者」 稱號的那個男人。某些對沖基金界的朋友甚至表示,在這個領域 「已經不能說他做的是市場交易了,因為 他自己本身 就是市場!」 那王者先生今年發生了什麼事呢? 「指數再平衡」 這種交易策略,其實就是字面上的意思。基金經理先預判哪些股票會被 「納入」 或是 「踢出」 各種不同的股票指數,再利用高額槓桿,搶先 買入 那些可能會被納入的股票,或搶先 做空 那些可能會被踢出的股票。 但這個聽起來很合理的策略,卻有個致命傷 - 「人擠人,擠死人(crowding)」 - 當市場的趨勢集中在某類特定股份的時候,有可能被納入指數的股票就是那幾支,大家 英雄所見略同 蜂擁而入,使得股價變得不再理性,基金經理可以達到的投資回報減少,在極端情況下甚至出現 鉅額虧損 - 就算那些股票最後真的被納入指數了也一樣。 這項策略其實在牛市的時候表現相當好,曾是千禧的 現金牛(cash cow), 過去幾年為該基金帶來數十億美元的回報。但是 當市場掉頭向下劇烈震盪、大家踩著彼此的屍體也要退場的時候 (例如2022年,還有今年),就會出現很高的交易風險。 退一步講, 指數再平衡 其實只是千禧旗下眾多交易策略的一種而已。 整體來說 ,千禧基金在二月的表現是 負1.3% ,略遜於對沖基金綜合指數的 負0.47%。 但還是要強調,雖然一個月輸1.3%好像沒什麼,但對千禧的投資者來說,我付了高額的費用給你,就是要求個穩定 - 千禧自2018年年底以來,從未出現過虧損超過1%的月份,直到現在。 千禧穩定的秘密,就在於早前提到的 嚴苛風險管理文化 - 要是旗下某個交易團隊的虧損達到 5% ,該團隊手上可以控制的資金,就會被強制減少一半。而要是虧損進一步達到 7.5% ,那恭喜你,以後就可以不用來上班了。 即使巨人也會摔倒 ,但千禧長年積累出的韌性,或許可以讓巨人很快再爬起來。 "我們孤身一人來到這世界,孤身一人離開,還得孤身一人穿越特朗普股市的驚濤駭浪" - 對沖基金 Third Point 創辦人 Dan Loeb We are born alone; we die alone and we navigate the Trump stock market alone " - Dan Loeb, billionaire founder of hedge fund Third Point Source: Bloomberg 以上資訊僅供參考,並非產品或投資建議。 歷史熱話 – 那些年,巴菲特犯下的錯(下集) 巴菲特直到今天仍被世人奉為股神。但還記得在歷史上的特定幾個年分,市場對他 垂垂老矣、跟不上時代 等各種嘲笑,其實也接近霸凌的程度。 尤其是2000年前後,巴菲特完美錯過了科技股的爆發,好在股神心態穩定,總能輕鬆面對逆境。本段最後將分享巴菲特與好友芒格在股東會上的一段對話, 我每讀一次就笑一次 😄 說真的,你怎麼能怪一個老先生不懂科技股呢? 巴菲特從1950年代開始投資以來,他的投資哲學一直都是相當謙遜的 - 只在自己的 能力圈(circle of competence) 內尋找投資機會,也因此投資標的自然集中在那個年代容易瞭解的類股中,例如 消費產品、基建項目、金融、保險 等等,都是具有 穩定現金流 的公司。 「 科技股」 則完全不同。高速增長的科技股業務複雜、產品更迭迅速, 現金流在哪裡都不知道。 Source: Financial Times 第一次嘗試 - 藍色巨人 IBM 但股神之所以是股神,就是因為他懂得順應時代的潮流而進步。 在網路泡沫爆發完很久以後的2011年,股神終於出手了! 在眾人驚訝的目光中,股神大手一揮,買入了 價值110億美元的IBM股份 。 他解釋,IBM為全球無數的企業提供IT部門支持,是他比較容易瞭解的商業模型。 但沒想到第一次出手,就錯了... 當年的IBM也不年輕了,雖然因過去的輝煌年代而保留著藍色巨人的稱號,但卻未能抓住新的趨勢(例如 雲端運算 )而被時代無情地拋下。 巴菲特買入之後不久,IBM的營收就開始快速下滑。 2017-2018年間,巴菲特終於認賠殺出IBM的持倉,並承認自己的 「科技股初體驗」 以失敗收場。 Source: CNBC 第二次嘗試 - 蘋果 對一般人來說,在哪裡跌倒就在哪裡躺好,才是符合人體工學的作法。這也是為什麼一般人永遠都無法成為股神。 雖然與IBM的初戀沒有開花,巴菲特很快又找到了下一個結婚對象 - 蘋果! 🍎 巴菲特自2016年開始投資蘋果,對他來說,蘋果不僅是一間科技公司,蘋果產品對消費者的影響力,更像是他所熟悉的 消費類股 。 一擊不中,再擊必中 ! 隨著蘋果股價的快速上漲,2018年蘋果已經成為巴菲特的第一大持股,高峰期甚至占了巴菲特整個投資組合超過一半。 歡樂的時光總是過得特別快,又到了時候說 bye bye。 巴菲特從去年開始減持蘋果股份 ,照他的官方解釋,是因為他預期美國的資本利得稅率會走高,所以早點開始獲利了結蘋果,可以幫股東們節省一點稅務負擔。 截至2024年年底,蘋果仍然佔據巴菲特投資組合的28%。 這第二次出擊不僅扳回了局面,更是完全彌補了此前的遺憾! 那些錯過的「白月光」 - 亞馬遜與谷歌 除了與IBM和蘋果兩段刻骨銘心的戀情以外,巴菲特還有兩個念念不忘的科技股白月光。 亞馬遜 - 巴菲特曾在一段訪問中承認,他就是「太蠢了 (too dumb)」,所以才錯過了亞馬遜,也從未想過亞馬遜可以發展到今天的規模。 谷歌 - 谷歌的故事更有趣一點。波克夏旗下有間做消費保險的公司,叫做 GEICO,很早以前就是谷歌的廣告客戶。雖然GEICO藉由谷歌的廣告助力而生意蒸蒸日上,但巴菲特卻從來沒想到要投資谷歌。對此,他和好拍檔芒格是這麼自嘲的: 「沒發現谷歌的潛力,我真的覺得自己笨得像個馬屁股」 ,芒格說, 「我覺得巴菲特也有同感,我們真的搞砸了」 🐴 I feel like a horse's ass for not identifying Google ,” Munger said. “ I think Warren feels the same way. We screwed up. " 「芒格說的對,爛透了」 ,巴菲特同意。 " Yeah, he's saying, 'We blew it, '" Buffett quipped. 「我們明明從自己的業務就能看到谷歌廣告的效果有多好,但我們卻坐在那裡啃手指,真是羞愧。我們現在正努力贖罪中」 ,芒格補充, 「也許蘋果就是我們的贖罪方式。」 " We could see in our own operations how well that Google advertising was working and we just sat there sucking our thumbs, so we are ashamed. We're trying to atone ,” Munger said. “ Maybe Apple was atonement .” 「他說『啃手指』,好險他沒用其他更奇怪的比喻」 ,巴菲特總結。 " When he says, ‘sucking our thumbs,’ I'm just glad he didn't use some other example, " Buffett added. 派息也是一種錯? 巴菲特自己身為價值投資者,這麼多年都傾向投資於擁有穩健現金派息的公司。 但弔詭的是,巴菲特自己的旗艦波克夏,滿手都是現金,但在六十幾年的歷史中,僅僅只派過 一次 股息! 那次絕無僅有的派息出現在1967年,也就是巴菲特買下公司控股權的兩年後。每股派息十美分。 過了好幾十年,巴菲特還是念念不忘當初這個錯誤的派息決定。他甚至開玩笑說, 「當初董事會做這個決定的時候,我一定是在上廁所 ( "I went to the men's restroom, and the directors voted while I wasn’t there." 」 為什麼巴菲特認為派息是一種錯,又為什麼之後再也沒派過現金股息呢? 因為對他來說,波克夏帳上的現金,有三個用途遠比派息好得多: 將賺來的現金重新投資在業務上 ,讓公司繼續茁壯 做更多的併購交易, 以擴展波克夏的版圖 拿來回購波克夏的公司股票, 尤其是在市場大幅低估波克夏的時候 對巴菲特來說,把現金投放到 最能創造價值的地方 才是硬道理! 以上資訊僅供參考,並非投資或產品建議。 您知道嗎? – 世上竟有如此「反直覺」的交易所買賣基金(ETF) Source: State Street 兩大基金巨頭 - 道富 (State Street) 和阿波羅 (Apollo) 早前聯手推出了一個ETF,名為 SPDR 阿波羅公共和私人信貸主動型ETF (SPDR SSGA Apollo IG Public & Private Credit ETF (美股代碼"PRIV") ,以下簡稱PRIV。 這個ETF的嶄新之處在於,他把 流動性極差的私募信貸資產 ,包裝成一個 每分每秒都可以交易 的ETF。按照阿波羅執行長 Marc Rowan 的說法,就是 私募市場與公開市場的終極聯姻! 但這場婚姻似乎尚未得到雙方家長的祝福。 美國證券交易委員會(SEC)祭出警告,對於這支ETF的 流動性安排 、 估值方法 ,甚至 基金名稱 通通都有意見。 一般來說,ETF做為可以隨時買賣的交易所基金,為了維持流動性,只被容許擁有 最多15% 的私募資產。但PRIV卻聲稱可以持有 高達35% 的私募信貸資產,因為阿波羅為這些資產提供了 每日估值及流動性的保證。 「把天生流動性低的資產,放進一個在公開市場上可隨時交易的基金外殼裡,會不會就像微波爐裡的玉米一樣,炸成了爆米花?」 🌽 " How will inherently illiquid assets behave in a fund wrapper that trades "continuously" on a public stock exchange?" Source: State Street 先來看一下PRIV到底想持有什麼樣的私募信貸資產吧。 依照基金公司的官方說法,基金經理人會選擇高品質的私募信貸資產,例如 中小型企業借貸、汽車借貸、音樂版權、甚至是播放版權 等等。這些私募資產預計可以帶來 6.5% 的年收益率,高出公開市場資產的平均 5% 年收益率。 事實上,「私募信貸投資」在 機構、私人銀行客戶 眼中,早就不是什麼新鮮事。但就是因為這些大型客戶早就買夠了這種投資,基金公司眼看需求減弱,這些基金慢慢賣不動了,只好把腦筋動到 零售投資者 頭上。 但這樣做真的好嗎? 國際結算銀行(The Bank of International Settlements)本周就警告, 讓零售投資者購買流動性極低的私募資產,將會是風險極高的漏洞! 好在目前看來零售投資者也不是笨蛋,對這樣的新產品,大部分人仍然抱持 觀望 的態度。 2月底上市以來,PRIV只錄得 500萬美元 的資金流入,加上上市時的初始資金,這支ETF目前管理的資產總額也僅 5500萬美元 而已。 PRIV 雖然沒有光芒萬丈地起飛,但它的確象徵著市場邁向 「私募資產大眾化」 的第一步。至於未來等著我們的,是條條大路,還是萬丈深淵,就留給時間來揭曉吧! 🌟 最後再打一次廣告 - 快去瑜新家族辦公室的 官方網站 逛逛,了解我們到底想幹嘛,順便訂閱每周周報,在歡笑中掌握最新財經娛樂,心情更舒爽喔! 🚀✨ 以上資訊僅供參考,並非投資或產品建議。 瑜新家族辦公室 家族辦公室一般可分為兩種,「單一家族辦公室」是由單一家族直接設立,為該家族提供全面的財富管理服務。而「聯合家族辦公室」則同時為多個家族服務,提供較為標準化的產品,與私人銀行相似。 瑜新結合兩者的優勢,在服務層面上,根據每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的財富管理顧問服務;在執行層面上,為您省卻了設立單一家族辦公室所需的繁瑣行政程序,利用瑜新的聯合家族辦公室平台,可以更有效率地達成您的目標。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • 第十七篇 – 牛市总在绝望中诞生 & 「九十后」的巴菲特(下集)

    图片来源 : Millennium loses US$900 million on strategy roiled by market chaos - The Business Times 2025年3月16日  🎉 敲锣打鼓望周知 🎉 我们终于把每周周报与「瑜新家族办公室」的正式网站融合在一起啦! 周报的订阅方式也简单很多,只要在 网站 的底端输入您的电邮地址,就可以自动收到我们的每周更新囉 ✨ 本周市场仍然相当波动,让我欢喜让我忧,像极了爱情。而美股科技七「雄」 ( M agnificent 7) 也已经被某些银行改称科技七「熊」 ( L agnificent 7)了。 对此,我们除了默默留下几滴眼泪以外,也引用传奇基金经理人 約翰‧坦伯頓爵士 (John Templeton) 那段历久不衰的箴言,希望大家枪林弹雨,好自为之。 " 牛市总在绝望中诞生,在怀疑中成长,在乐观中成熟,在狂欢中毁灭 " "Bull markets are born on despair, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria." 其实,当市场如此剧烈变化的时候,最应该做的,就是把投资组合好好分析梳理一下, 找瑜新家族办公室聊聊,可以有效纾解心中的忧虑喔! 本周周报准备了三个话题,都是与「错误」有点关係的。看看别人犯的错,自己的心里才会比较舒坦 (??) 1️⃣ 首先,市场消息称, 巨型对冲基金千禧 (Millennium) 旗下的 「指数再平衡 (index rebalancing)」 交易策略,上个月出现大笔损失。到底这是种什麽策略? 造成的损失又为什麽可以令到千禧这个几乎是全世界最大的对冲基金也要喊痛? 让我们慢慢解释给您听。 2️⃣ 再来,本周继续分享 股神巴菲特曾犯下的错误 。大家还记得他很晚才开始买入科技股,他自己又是如何自嘲看走眼这件事呢? 希望我们也能像他一样,用幽默的心态面对失误,或许这才是长寿的秘诀! 3️⃣ 最后, 两大基金公司 - 道富(State Street)和阿波罗(Apollo) 早前合力推出了一支 「反直觉」的交易所买卖基金(ETF) 。🤔 为什麽聪明的华尔街会做出违反直觉的事呢? 是出于绝望还是真有勇气探索未知的领域? 让我们看下去! 目 录 本周內容 1) 每周一策略 千禧基金的「指数再平衡」策略为什麽损失惨重? 2) 历史热话 那些年,巴菲特犯下的错(下集) 3) 您知道 吗 ? 世上竟有如此「反直觉」的交易所买卖基金(ETF) 未來一 周值得关注的大事: 中国/香港 - 业绩 3月18日(周二) - 小米(1810.HK)、小鵬汽车(9868.HK)、腾讯音乐(1698.HK) 3月19日(周三)  - 腾讯(0700.HK)、平安保险(2318.HK)、中国联通(0762.HK)、安踏(2020.HK)、金山云(3896.HK) 3月20日(周四)  - 长江和记(0001.HK)、吉利汽车(0175.HK) 3月21日(周五)  - 蔚来汽车(9866.HK)、中国移动(0941.HK)、美团(3690.HK) 中国 - 经济数据 3月17日(周一) - 工业生产、零售销售 3月17日(周一) - 国务院新闻办公室下午3时举行新闻发布会,由国家发展改革委和财政部、人力资源社会保障部、商务部、人民银行、市场监管总局负责人介绍提振消费情况。 美国 - 业绩 3月20日(周四)  - Nike(NKE), 美光(MU) 美国 - 经济数据 3月17日(周一)  - 零售数据 3月19日(周三) - 美国联储局议息会议 其他重要大事 3月17-21日(周一至周五) - Nvidia GTC AI 大會 3月19日(周三) - 日本央行议息会议 3月20日(周四) - 瑞士央行议息会议、英国央行议息会议 每周一策略 – 千禧基金的「指数再平衡」策略为什麽损失惨重? 先简单回顾一下 「千禧(Millennium)」 - 千禧是一个 巨型的全球顶级对冲基金 ,旗下有三百多个交易团队,每个团队都使用不同的交易策略,有的炒股票、有的炒债券、有的炒外汇,千奇百怪、百花齐放。而对于千禧基金的投资者来说,就像是聘请了全球最聪明的三百多人来帮你做投资,再加上更聪明的千禧管理层帮你管控这三百多人加起来的交易风险 - 听起来一切都很美好,只是费用也很高。 上周 市场消息 传出,千禧众多交易策略中的其中一种 - 「指数再平衡(Index Rebalancing)」 策略,今年至今竟然出现高达 9亿美元 的亏损。虽然这对千禧基金本身庞大的规模 750亿美元 来说,似乎不是什麽大事,但要知道千禧最大的卖点,就是藉由分散的投资团队以及 严苛的风险控制 ,达到整体基金投资报酬的高度稳定性。所以这样的消息,还是震惊了市场。 报导称,9亿美元亏损主要来自于两组团队,其中一组由名叫Glen Scheinberg的交易员带领。一般投资者应该没听过这人的名号,但在「指数再平衡」这个领域中,他是有着 「王者」 称号的那个男人。某些对冲基金界的朋友甚至表示,在这个领域 「已经不能说他做的是市场交易了,因为他自己本身就是市场!」 那王者先生今年发生了什麽事呢? 「 指数再平衡 」 这种交易策略,其实就是字面上的意思。基金经理先预判哪些股票会被 「纳入」 或是 「踢出」 各种不同的股票指数,再利用高额槓杆,抢先 买入 那些可能会被纳入的股票,或抢先 做空 那些可能会被踢出的股票。 但这个听起来很合理的策略,却有个致命伤 - 「人挤人,挤死人(crowding)」 - 当市场的趋势集中在某类特定股份的时候,有可能被纳入指数的股票就是那几支,大家 英雄所见略同 蜂拥而入,使得股价变得不再理性,基金经理可以达到的投资回报减少,在极端情况下甚至出现 钜额亏损 - 就算那些股票最后真的被纳入指数了也一样。 这项策略其实在牛市的时候表现相当好,曾是千禧的 现金牛(cash cow) ,过去几年为该基金带来数十亿美元的回报。但是 当市场掉头向下剧烈震盪、大家踩着彼此的尸体也要退场 的时候(例如2022年,还有今年),就会出现很高的交易风险。 退一步讲, 指数再平衡 其实只是千禧旗下众多交易策略的一种而已。 整体来说, 千禧基金在二月的表现是 负1.3% ,略逊于对冲基金综合指数的 负0.47% 。但还是要强调,虽然一个月输1.3%好像没什麽,但对千禧的投资者来说,我付了高额的费用给你,就是要求个稳定 - 千禧自2018年年底以来,从未出现过亏损超过1%的月份,直到现在。 千禧稳定的秘密,就在于早前提到的 严苛风险管理文化 - 要是旗下某个交易团队的亏损达到 5% ,该团队手上可以控制的资金,就会被强制减少一半。而要是亏损进一步达到 7.5% ,那恭喜你,以后就可以不用来上班了。 即使巨人也会摔倒, 但千禧长年积累出的韧性,或许可以让巨人很快再爬起来。 「我们孤身一人来到这世界,孤身一人离开,还得孤身一人穿越特朗普股市的惊涛骇浪」 - 对冲基金 Third Point 创办人 Dan Loeb We are born alone; we die alone and we navigate the Trump stock market alone " - Dan Loeb, billionaire founder of hedge fund Third Point Source: Bloomberg 以上 资讯仅供参考,并非产品或投资建议 。 历史热话 – 那些年,巴菲特犯下的错(下集) 巴菲特直到今天仍被世人奉为股神。但还记得在历史上的特定几个年分,市场对他 垂垂老矣、跟不上时代 等各种嘲笑,其实也接近霸凌的程度。 尤其是2000年前后,巴菲特完美错过了科技股的爆发,好在股神心态稳定,总能轻松面对逆境。本段最后将分享巴菲特与好友芒格在股东会上的一段对话, 我每读一次就笑一次 😄 说真的,你怎麽能怪一个老先生不懂科技股呢? 巴菲特从1950年代开始投资以来,他的投资哲学一直都是相当谦逊的 - 只在自己的 能力圈(circle of competence) 内寻找投资机会,也因此投资标的自然集中在那个年代容易瞭解的类股中,例如 消费产品、基建项目、金融、保险 等等,都是具有 稳定现金流 的公司。 「科技股」 则完全不同。高速增长的科技股业务複杂、产品更迭迅速, 现金流在哪里都不知道。 Source: Financial Times 第一次尝试 - 蓝色巨人 IBM 但股神之所以是股神,就是因为他懂得顺应时代的潮流而进步。 在网路泡沫爆发完很久以后的2011年,股神终于出手了! 在众人惊讶的目光中,股神大手一挥,买入了 价值110亿美元的IBM股份 。 他解释,IBM为全球无数的企业提供IT部门支持,是他比较 容易瞭解的商业模型 。 但没想到第一次出手,就错了... 当年的IBM也不年轻了,虽然因过去的辉煌年代而保留着蓝色巨人的称号,但却未能抓住新的趋势(例如 云端运算 )而被时代无情地抛下。 巴菲特买入之后不久,IBM的营收就开始快速下滑。 2017-2018年间,巴菲特终于认赔杀出IBM的持仓,并承认自己的 「科技股初体验」 以失败收场。 Source: CNBC 第二次尝试 - 苹果 对一般人来说,在哪里跌倒就在哪里躺好,才是符合人体工学的作法。这也是为什麽一般人永远都无法成为股神。 虽然与IBM的初恋没有开花,巴菲特很快又找到了下一个结婚对象 - 苹果! 🍎 巴菲特自2016年开始投资苹果,对他来说,苹果不仅是一间科技公司,苹果产品对消费者的影响力,更像是他所熟悉的 消费类股 。 一击不中,再击必中! 随着苹果股价的快速上涨,2018年苹果已经成为巴菲特的第一大持股,高峰期甚至占了巴菲特整个投资组合超过一半。 欢乐的时光总是过得特别快,又到了时候说 bye bye。 巴菲特从去年开始减持苹果股份 ,照他的官方解释,是因为他预期美国的资本利得税率会走高,所以早点开始获利了结苹果,可以帮股东们节省一点税务负担。 截至2024年年底,苹果仍然佔据巴菲特投资组合的28% 。这第二次出击不仅扳回了局面,更是完全弥补了此前的遗憾! 那些错过的「白月光」 - 亚马逊与谷歌 除了與IBM和蘋果兩段刻骨銘心的戀情以外,巴菲特還有兩個念念不忘的科技股白月光。 亚马逊 - 巴菲特曾在一段访问中承认,他就是「太蠢了 (too dumb)」,所以才错过了亚马逊,也从未想过亚马逊可以发展到今天的规模。 谷歌 - 谷歌的故事更有趣一点。波克夏旗下有间做消费保险的公司,叫做 GEICO,很早以前就是谷歌的广告客户。虽然GEICO藉由谷歌的广告助力而生意蒸蒸日上,但巴菲特却从来没想到要投资谷歌。对此,他和好拍档芒格是这麽自嘲的: 「没发现谷歌的潜力,我真的觉得自己笨得像个马屁股」 ,芒格说, 「我觉得巴菲特也有同感,我们真的搞砸了」 🐴 I feel like a horse's ass for not identifying Google ,” Munger said. “ I think Warren feels the same way. We screwed up. " 「芒格说的对,烂透了」 ,巴菲特同意。 " Yeah, he's saying, 'We blew it, '" Buffett quipped. 「我们明明从自己的业务就能看到谷歌广告的效果有多好,但我们却坐在那里啃手指,真是羞愧。我们现在正努力赎罪中」 ,芒格补充, 「也许苹果就是我们的赎罪方式。」 " We could see in our own operations how well that Google advertising was working and we just sat there sucking our thumbs, so we are ashamed. We're trying to atone ,” Munger said. “ Maybe Apple was atonement .” 「他说『啃手指』,好险他没用其他更奇怪的比喻」 ,巴菲特总结。 " When he says, ‘sucking our thumbs,’ I'm just glad he didn't use some other example, " Buffett added. 派息也是一种错? 巴菲特自己身为 价值投资者 ,这麽多年都倾向投资于拥有稳健现金派息的公司。 但弔诡的是,巴菲特自己的旗舰波克夏,满手都是现金,但在六十几年的历史中,仅仅只派过 一次 股息! 那次绝无仅有的派息出现在1967年,也就是巴菲特买下公司控股权的两年后。每股派息十美分。 过了好几十年,巴菲特还是念念不忘当初这个错误的派息决定。他甚至开玩笑说, 「当初董事会做这个决定的时候,我一定是在上厕所 ("I went to the men's restroom, and the directors voted while I wasn’t there."」 为什麽巴菲特认为派息是一种错,又为什麽之后再也没派过现金股息呢? 因为对他来说,波克夏帐上的现金, 有三个用途远比派息好得多: 将赚来的现金重新投资在业务上 ,让公司继续茁壮 做更多的併购交易 ,以扩展波克夏的版图 拿来回购波克夏的公司股票 ,尤其是在市场大幅低估波克夏的时候 对巴菲特来说,把现金投放到 最能创造价值的地方 才是硬道理! 以上 资讯仅供参考,并非投资或产品建议。 您知道吗? – 世上竟有如此「反直觉」的交易所买卖基金(ETF) Source: State Street 两大基金巨头 - 道富 (State Street) 和阿波罗 (Apollo) 早前联手推出了一个ETF,名为 SPDR 阿波羅公共和私人信貸主動型ETF (SPDR SSGA Apollo IG Public & Private Credit ETF (美股代碼"PRIV") ,以下简称PRIV。 这个ETF的崭新之处在于,他把 流动性极差的私募信贷资产 ,包装成一个 每分每秒都可以交易的ETF 。按照阿波罗执行长 Marc Rowan 的说法,就是 私募市场与公开市场的终极联姻! 但这场婚姻似乎尚未得到双方家长的祝福。 美国证券交易委员会(SEC)祭出警告,对于这支ETF的 流动性安排 、 估值方法 ,甚至 基金名称 通通都有意见。 一般来说,ETF做为可以随时买卖的交易所基金,为了维持流动性,只被容许拥有 最多15% 的私募资产。但PRIV却声称可以持有 高达35% 的私募信贷资产,因为阿波罗为这些资产提供了 每日估值及流动性的保证 。 「把天生流动性低的资产,放进一个在公开市场上可随时交易的基金外壳里,会不会就像微波炉里的玉米一样,炸成了爆米花?」 🌽 " How will inherently illiquid assets behave in a fund wrapper that trades "continuously" on a public stock exchange?" Source: State Street 先来看一下PRIV到底想持有什麽样的私募信贷资产吧。 依照基金公司的官方说法,基金经理人会选择高品质的私募信贷资产,例如 中小型企业借贷、汽车借贷、音乐版权、甚至是播放版权 等等。这些私募资产预计可以带来 6.5% 的年收益率,高出公开市场资产的平均 5% 年收益率。 事实上,「私募信贷投资」在 机构、私人银行客 户眼中,早就不是什麽新鲜事。但就是因为这些大型客户早就买够了这种投资,基金公司眼看需求减弱,这些基金慢慢卖不动了,只好把脑筋动到 零售投资者 头上。 但这样做真的好吗? 国际结算银行(The Bank of International Settlements)本周就警告, 让零售投资者购买流动性极低的私募资产,将会是风险极高的漏洞! 好在目前看来零售投资者也不是笨蛋,对这样的新产品,大部分人仍然抱持 观望 的态度。 2月底上市以来,PRIV只录得 500万美元 的资金流入,加上上市时的初始资金,这支ETF目前管理的资产总额也仅 5500万美元 而已。 PRIV 虽然没有光芒万丈地起飞,但它的确象徵着市场迈向 「私募资产大众化」 的第一步。至于未来等着我们的,是条条大路,还是万丈深渊,就留给时间来揭晓吧! 🌟 最后再打一次广告 - 快去瑜新家族办公室的 官方网站 逛逛,了解我们到底想干嘛,顺便订阅每周周报,在欢笑中掌握最新财经娱乐,心情更舒爽喔! 🚀✨ 以上 资讯仅供参考,并非投资或产品建议 。 瑜新家族办公室 家族办公室一般可分为两种,「单一家族办公室」是由单一家族直接设立,为该家族提供全面的财富管理服务。而「联合家族办公室」则同时为多个家族服务,提供较为标准化的产品,与私人银行相似。 瑜新结合两者的优势,在服务层面上,根据每位客人的不同需求,提供量身打造的财富管理顾问服务;在执行层面上,为您省却了设立单一家族办公室所需的繁琐行政程序,利用瑜新的联合家族办公室平台,可以更有效率地达成您的目标。 Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

  • Vol 16 – A Purely Commercial Transaction & Buffet’s Mistakes (Part I)

    March 9th, 2025 Hello there! This week, we’re shining a spotlight on two remarkable gentlemen who, despite being over 90 years old , continue to make waves across the globe . We’ve also heard your curiosity loud and clear – what exactly does Jadewell Family Office do? Are we bloggers writing (occasionally) interesting articles, stock brokers trying to pitch stock ideas, or perhaps the private bankers eager to help you open an account? Well, it’s time to clear up the mystery! We’ll explain our value propositions and what differentiates us from other service providers you’ve seen before. Category Contents for this Week 1) Deal of the Week CK Hutchison’s Port Sale – A Win-Win-For-All Deal 2) History Buzz Buffett’s Mistakes (Part I) 3) Fun Facts What does Jadewell Family Office Actually Do? Key things to watch for the upcoming week: China/HK - Earnings Mar 14 (Fri)  – AIA (1299.HK), Li Auto (2015.HK) US – Earnings Mar 10 (Mon) – Oracle (ORCL) US – Eco Data Mar 12 (Wed) – US CPI Mar 13 (Thu) – US PPI Other Events Mar 11 (Tue) – Japan 4Q GDP Mar 12 (Wed) – Bank of Canada Rates Meeting Deal of the Week – CK Hutchison’s Port Sale – A Win-Win-For-All Deal After a lifetime of dealmaking, 96-year-old Li Ka-Shing has once again made headlines with a deal that shook the world. Earlier this week, CK Hutchison ( 0001.HK , CKH) announced that it had reached in-principle agreements to sell off the bulk of its Global ex-China ports business, including the two most politically sensitive ports in the Panama Canal , to a consortium led by BlackRock from the US. In return, CKH will receive cash proceeds exceeding USD 19 billion. While CK Hutchison insists this is “ a purely commercial transaction ,” it’s clear that Donald Trump’s recent comments played a significant role. The Panama Canal , an 82-km artificial waterway built by the US in 1914, cuts across the narrowest point of Panama, connecting the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans . This allows ships to avoid the lengthy and dangerous journey around Cape Horn at the southern tip of South America. After decades of US control, the Canal’s ownership and management were transitioned back to Panama in 1999. However, Donald Trump isn’t pleased with this arrangement. During his January 20th inauguration speech earlier this year, he claimed that China essentially runs the Canal by controlling the surrounding ports . There are 5 ports along the Canal. CKH (aka China, in Trump’s eyes) owns the most important 2 ports – the ones at both ends of the Canal.Trump even refused to rule out military action to reassert US control over the Canal. For him, the Panama Canal holds paramount importance as 75% of the cargo passing through it is either destined for or originating from the US, making the US the largest beneficiary of this critical maritime route. Chart source: Bloomberg Therefore, this timely CKH deal appears to be a win-win for all parties involved – Li and CKH gets to offload these sensitive port assets at a handsome premium, Trump regains control of the Panama ports as he desires, Panama keeps good relationship with US (their biggest trade partner), and buyer BlackRock secures dozens of ports worldwide as its largest infrastructure investment to date. Additionally, this move helps ease Republican pressure on BlackRock’s CEO, Larry Fink , over the company’s past embrace of ESG investing and diversity issues. Back to CKH, investors holding CKH shares were left in awe by the staggering USD 19 billion price tag of the recent deal – a whopping 75% of CKH’s current market cap. Ports business accounted for just 9% of CKH’s revenue and 15% of its EBITDA, as of first half of 2024. Prior to the deal’s announcement, analysts had valued CKH’s ports business at around USD 10.5 billion only. Also, this USD 19 billion deal price, which is almost 13 times of EBITDA , exceeds the global valuation average of 10 times . Chart source: Bloomberg Now, investors are buzzing with anticipation about what the company will do with this massive cash windfall . JPMorgan analyst predicts that CKH might distribute 10-20% of the cash proceeds as special dividends (similar to what they did after selling partial holdings of Watsons in 2014) . This could potentially boost the stock’s dividend yield from around 5% currently to an impressive 14%! The rest of the cash? Possibilities are aplenty. CKH might use it to repay debt (as they did after selling European tower assets in 2020-21) , issue bonus shares (reminiscent of the 1999 sale of British mobile-phone company Orange) , or save it for future acquisitions. Meanwhile, MorningStar is even more optimistic, forecasting a special dividend payout of HKD 25 per share. Based on CKH’s current stock price at around HKD 50, this would translate to a jaw-dropping 50% dividend yield , though MorningStar didn’t detail the calculations behind this prediction. No worries, we should find out more details soon enough at CKH’s upcoming earnings announcement on Mar 20th. For investors, another big question is: What will CKH look like after the sale? The answer is a company that’s less diversified but also less exposed to geopolitical risks – a trade-off that could be quite favorable. UK remains CKH’s largest market, accounting for less than 25% of its EBITDA, but this number is poised to grow. Just last month, CKH made a preliminary bid of GBP 7 billion to acquire a majority stake in Thames Water . Additionally, they’re eyeing a bid for Viridor Ltd. , a UK waste management firm valued at another GBP 7 billion. When it comes to CKH’s business segments, infrastructure and telecom continue to generate stable results. However, the retail segment (think Watsons ) is navigating a challenging environment in China. Chart source: Bloomberg based on 1H 2024 EBITDA, pre-IFRS 16 basis and includes the group’s proportionate share of associated companies and joint ventures, excluding non-controlling interests’ share in HPH Trust. Assumes the deconsolidation of port segment’s EBITDA, except HPH Trust and Mainland China & Other Hong Kong. For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. History Buzz – Buffett’s Mistakes (Part I) Warren Buffett published his annual (and possibly the last) letter to shareholders a few weeks ago. It ignited a lively discussion about making mistakes – a topic Buffett has never shied away from addressing. As a wise man once said, while we can’t replicate others’ success, we can certainly avoid repeating their mistakes. Source: https://ekoshapu.in/2021/08/30/happy-bday-warren-buffett/ The Boy Buffett Warren Buffett was born in Omaha, Nebraska, in 1930. His father, Howard Buffett, was a US congressman and an avid stock investor. Guided by his dad’s financial wisdom, young Warren started trading stocks at the age of 11. Buffett later pursued his Master’s degree at Columbia Business School, where he studied under the renowned economist Benjamin Graham , who taught him the concept of “Margin of Safety.” It refers to the gap between a company’s intrinsic value and its stock price. Essentially, the larger the Margin of Safety, the better the investment opportunity. Buffett kickstarted his investment career by diligently applying this principle across various stock brokerage houses, achieving remarkable success. By 1962, his savvy investments had made him a millionaire . Source: The Motely Fool The Biggest Mistake – Berkshire Hathaway The same year in 1962, Buffett stumbled upon another investment opportunity – a struggling textile manufacturing company named Berkshire Hathaway . To give you some context, the US textile industry was having a tough time in the 1960s. Increased competition from foreign manufacturers with lower labor costs and the sluggish adoption of new machinery by US textile mills led to mounting losses. Seizing the opportunity, Buffett began buying Berkshire Hathaway’s shares at USD 7.60 when the company’s book value was USD 19.46 per share ( talk about Margin of Safety! ). His initial plan was to sell the shares at a profit. In 1964, he offered to sell his holdings back to Berkshire at USD 11.50 , a deal verbally agreed upon by Berkshire’s CEO at the time, Seabury Stanton . However, when Buffett received the proposed transaction details in writing a few weeks later, the price had dropped to USD 11.375 . This infuriated Buffett! Instead of accepting the slightly lower price, a determined Buffett bought even more of Berkshire’s stocks at much higher prices, just to take control of the company and fire Seabury Stanton, the unfaithful CEO. By the time Buffett acquired a majority stake in the company, his average cost had risen from USD 7.60 to nearly USD 15 ( much less Margin of Safety now… ). “It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price, than a fair company at a wonderful price”, said Warren Buffett. In hindsight, Buffett admitted that taking over Berkshire Hathaway was his biggest mistake . Much of his capital got tied up in the company at that time, and looking back, he realized that he could have earned an estimated USD 200 billion in compounded investment returns (per Buffett himself as of 2010) with those funds. Another Mistake – David Sokol Given Buffett’s age, the market has always been concerned about his succession plan. While Greg Abel (interestingly, he was born in 1962 , the same year that Buffett started buying Berkshire shares) is the clear successor for Berkshire Hathaway now, the road to finding the right heir wasn’t without its bumps for Buffett. Before 2011, Buffett had his sights on another potential successor: David Sokol. Often dubbed Buffett’s “Mr. Fix-It,” Sokol also played a pivotal role in Berkshire’s USD 230 million investment in BYD after a due diligence trip to China in 2008. But things took a turn in January 2011 – Sokol presented Buffett with the idea of acquiring a US chemical company called Lubrizol for USD 135 per share. What Sokol failed to disclose was his personal purchase of USD 10 million worth of Lubrizol shares at USD 104 just days before the pitch. He made “himself” a tidy USD 3 million profit after Buffett agreed with the proposal and bought Lubrizol. Later that year, Sokol resigned, and Buffett confessed to making a “big mistake” by not thoroughly questioning Sokol before proceeding with the investment. Next week, we’ll dive into two more of Buffett’s notable missteps – about missing out on golden opportunities and paying out dividends (!?). Stay tuned, because it’s bound to be a captivating discussion! For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. Fun Facts – What does Jadewell Family Office Actually Do? As Buffett’s two mistakes above illustrate, “conflict of interests” lurks everywhere! When someone pitches you an idea or a financial product, is it genuinely in your best interest? Or simply because they get a higher rebate or commission from it? 🤔 In our nearly 20 years of working experience at top tier foreign banks , we’ve faced situations like these countless times – not just conflicts of interest, but more frequently, instances of “information asymmetry” between banks and clients, or fund managers and investors. While everyone needs to make a living, we believe it should be done within reasonable limits. Jadewell Family Office stands out as one of the few investment advisors in HK proudly operating on a “retrocession-free model” – no under-the-table financial benefits here! We put this commitment in writing with our clients. 📜 We’re also NOT a hedge fund or someone who wants to take your money and invest on your behalf. What we focus on is a significant under-addressed client need: regular check-ups and analysis of your “overall” financial portfolio. Given the sophistication of clients in HK, many hold multiple bank accounts, online broker accounts, or fund accounts. However, no one really has the time or patience to sit down, analyze, and monitor all these holdings on a consolidated basis regularly – and this can cause problems in the long run. For example, we’ve helped clients spot bank account statements with incorrect booking records, single out funds that no longer align with their initial investment goals, and identify alternative strategies that can be deployed in a more cost-efficient way to achieve better performance than their existing holdings. 🔍💡 “Just like you need regular check-ups for your physical health, your investment portfolio also needs regular check-ups and monitoring .” Jadewell Family Office – Pricing Sheet updated as of March 2025 We offer 3 different kinds of services to our clients: 🌟 “Light” Family Office Services 🌟 Regular portfolio consolidation and analysis (monthly or quarterly for less complex portfolios) Line-by-line transaction review Sharing market insights, colors, and whatever that’s happening out there Ideal for clients seeking simple and straightforward advice. ✨ “Semi” Family Office Services ✨ Includes all features in the “Light” service Filtering and discussing ideas/pitches you receive from banks or other service providers “anytime” Access to Jadewell’s proprietary investment solutions Perfect for clients who need timely discussions and feel bombarded with all the ideas out there. 🚀 “Full” Family Office Services – A Trustworthy Gatekeeper 🚀 On top of all features of the “Semi” service, we go the “extra mile” for you. Sourcing specific investment ideas/solutions based on your instructions and preferences Customized weekly updates Succession planning across generations (not just vehicles like trusts but also investment experience sharing/coaching for younger generations) Tailor-made for clients who want a trustworthy hand with their diversified and complex wealth. For your reference only. Not investment/product recommendations. About Jadewell Family Office Jadewell is committed to offering proactive, customized services akin to a “single-family office,” yet within the ease of a “multi-family office” environment. Ann Yu Co-Founder and CEO Jadewell Family Office FOR INSTITUTIONAL & PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS ONLY – NOT INTENDED FOR RETAIL CUSTOMER USETHESE ARE NOT STOCK OR PRODUCT RECOMMENDATIONS This document is intended for informational purposes only. It should not be considered as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature, or any other purpose in any jurisdiction. It is educational and does not represent a commitment from Jadewell Family Office to participate in any mentioned transactions. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical, and for illustration purposes only. This material is insufficient to support an investment decision and should not be relied upon to evaluate the merits of investing in securities or products. Users should independently assess the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications, and work with their own financial professional to determine if any mentioned investment is appropriate for their personal goals. Investors should ensure they have all relevant information before making any decisions. Any forecasts, figures, opinions, or investment techniques and strategies provided are for informational purposes only. They are based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

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